Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34109892›Full record

SynthesisActa orthopaedica2021

Wide range of applications for machine-learning prediction models in orthopedic surgical outcome: a systematic review.

Paul T Ogink, Olivier Q Groot, Aditya V Karhade, Michiel E R Bongers, F Cumhur Oner, Jorrit-Jan Verlaan, Joseph H Schwab

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Acta orthopaedica, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  16. Assessing the potential role of ChatGPT in spine surgery research.Journal of experimental orthopaedics · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Paul T OginkDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht - Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Olivier Q GrootDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Orthopedic Oncology Service, Massachusetts General Hospital - Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
Aditya V KarhadeDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Orthopedic Oncology Service, Massachusetts General Hospital - Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
Michiel E R BongersDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Orthopedic Oncology Service, Massachusetts General Hospital - Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
F Cumhur OnerDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht - Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Jorrit-Jan VerlaanDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht - Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Joseph H SchwabDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Orthopedic Oncology Service, Massachusetts General Hospital - Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and purpose - Advancements in software and hardware have enabled the rise of clinical prediction models based on machine learning (ML) in orthopedic surgery. Given their growing popularity and their likely implementation in clinical practice we evaluated which outcomes these new models have focused on and what methodologies are being employed.Material and methods - We performed a systematic search in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library for studies published up to June 18, 2020. Studies reporting on non-ML prediction models or non-orthopedic outcomes were excluded. After screening 7,138 studies, 59 studies reporting on 77 prediction models were included. We extracted data regarding outcome, study design, and reported performance metrics.Results - Of the 77 identified ML prediction models the most commonly reported outcome domain was medical management (17/77). Spinal surgery was the most commonly involved orthopedic subspecialty (28/77). The most frequently employed algorithm was neural networks (42/77). Median size of datasets was 5,507 (IQR 635-26,364). The median area under the curve (AUC) was 0.80 (IQR 0.73-0.86). Calibration was reported for 26 of the models and 14 provided decision-curve analysis.Interpretation - ML prediction models have been developed for a wide variety of topics in orthopedics. Topics regarding medical management were the most commonly studied. Heterogeneity between studies is based on study size, algorithm, and time-point of outcome. Calibration and decision-curve analysis were generally poorly reported.

Indexed as

Clinical Decision-MakingMachine LearningNeural Networks, ComputerOrthopedic ProceduresPredictive Value of TestsHumans

Identifiers

PMID34109892
PMCPMC8519550

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.