ArticleRoyal Society open science2021
The trade-off between mobility and vaccination for COVID-19 control: a metapopulation modelling approach.
Article in Royal Society open science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 32 citations in OpenAlex.
- Modelling COVID-19 mutant dynamics: understanding the interplay between viral evolution and disease transmission dynamics.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Modeling spillover dynamics: understanding emerging pathogens of public health concern.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- An Epidemic Model with Infection Age and Vaccination Age Structure.Infectious disease reports · 2024Article
- Data-driven estimation of the instantaneous reproduction number and growth rates for the 2022 monkeypox outbreak in Europe.PloS one · 2023Article
- Article
- Reassessment of contact restrictions and testing campaigns against COVID-19 via spatio-temporal modeling.Nonlinear dynamics · 2022Article
- A Tale of Three Recent Pandemics: Influenza, HIV and SARS-CoV-2.Frontiers in microbiology · 2022Review
- Analysis of multi-strain infection of vaccinated and recovered population through epidemic model: Application to COVID-19.PloS one · 2022Article
- A snapshot of a pandemic: The interplay between social isolation and COVID-19 dynamics in Brazil.Patterns (New York, N.Y.) · 2021Article
- A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US.Infectious disease reports · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
November 2020 received a string of encouraging results from leading vaccine developers raising hopes for the imminent availability of an effective and safe vaccine against the SARS-CoV-2. In the present work, we discuss the theoretical impact of introducing a vaccine across a range of scenarios. In particular, we investigate how vaccination coverage, efficacy and delivery time affect the control of the transmission dynamics in comparison to mobility restrictions. The analysis is based on a metapopulation epidemic model structured by risk. We perform a global sensitivity analysis using the Sobol method. Our analysis suggest that the reduction of mobility among patches plays a significant role in the mitigation of the disease close to the effect of immunization coverage of 30% achieved in four months. Moreover, for an immunization coverage between 20% and 50% achieved in the first half of 2021 with a vaccine efficacy between 70% and 95%, the percentage reduction in the total number of SARS-CoV-2 infections is between 30% and 50% by the end of 2021 in comparison with the no vaccination scenario.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.