Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34108714›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2021

First-dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in Scotland.

C R Simpson, T Shi, E Vasileiou, S V Katikireddi, S Kerr, E Moore, C McCowan, U Agrawal, S A Shah, L D Ritchie and 20 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 158 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
158citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

158 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
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  4. Thrombosis patterns and clinical outcome of COVID-19 vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
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98 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

C R SimpsonSchool of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
T ShiUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4101-4535
E VasileiouUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
S V KatikireddiMRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6593-9092
S KerrUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
E MoorePublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland.
C McCowanSchool of Medicine, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, UK.
U AgrawalSchool of Medicine, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, UK.
S A ShahUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5672-0443
L D RitchieCentre of Academic Primary Care, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
J MurrayPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland.
J PanDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.
D T BradleyQueen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1468-1823
S J StockUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4308-856X
R WoodUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
A ChuterHealth Data Research UK, BREATHE Hub, Edinburgh, UK.
J BeggsHealth Data Research UK, BREATHE Hub, Edinburgh, UK.
H R StaggUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
M JoyNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
R S M TsangNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2520-526X
S de LusignanNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8553-2641
R HobbsNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
R A LyonsPopulation Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
F TorabiPopulation Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5853-4625
S BedstonPopulation Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
M O'LearyPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland.
A AkbariPopulation Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0814-0801
J McMenaminPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland.
C RobertsonPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland.
A SheikhUsher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. aziz.sheikh@ed.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7022-3056

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_13043Medical Research Council MC_PC_19004Medical Research Council MC_PC_19075Medical Research Council MC_PC_20058Medical Research Council MR/K006525/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Reports of ChAdOx1 vaccine-associated thrombocytopenia and vascular adverse events have led to some countries restricting its use. Using a national prospective cohort, we estimated associations between exposure to first-dose ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccination and hematological and vascular adverse events using a nested incident-matched case-control study and a confirmatory self-controlled case series (SCCS) analysis. An association was found between ChAdOx1 vaccination and idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) (0-27 d after vaccination; adjusted rate ratio (aRR) = 5.77, 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.41-13.83), with an estimated incidence of 1.13 (0.62-1.63) cases per 100,000 doses. An SCCS analysis confirmed that this was unlikely due to bias (RR = 1.98 (1.29-3.02)). There was also an increased risk for arterial thromboembolic events (aRR = 1.22, 1.12-1.34) 0-27 d after vaccination, with an SCCS RR of 0.97 (0.93-1.02). For hemorrhagic events 0-27 d after vaccination, the aRR was 1.48 (1.12-1.96), with an SCCS RR of 0.95 (0.82-1.11). A first dose of ChAdOx1 was found to be associated with small increased risks of ITP, with suggestive evidence of an increased risk of arterial thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events. The attenuation of effect found in the SCCS analysis means that there is the potential for overestimation of the reported results, which might indicate the presence of some residual confounding or confounding by indication. Public health authorities should inform their jurisdictions of these relatively small increased risks associated with ChAdOx1. No positive associations were seen between BNT162b2 and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedBNT162 VaccineCase-Control StudiesChAdOx1 nCoV-19Cohort StudiesCOVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesFemaleHemorrhageHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesBNT162 VaccineChAdOx1 nCoV-19COVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID34108714
PMCPMC8282499

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.