ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2021
Evolution of outcomes for patients hospitalised during the first 9 months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in France: A retrospective national surveillance data analysis.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed.
- Dynamic properties of Kermack-McKendrick-like models.PloS one · 2026Article
- The time between symptom onset and various clinical outcomes: a statistical analysis of MERS-CoV patients in Saudi Arabia.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Factors influencing in-hospital mortality in cancer patients with COVID-19: A retrospective survival analysis.SAGE open medicine · 2024Article
- Time warping between main epidemic time series in epidemiological surveillance.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- COVID-19 deaths on weekends.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Charting the spatial dynamics of early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Washington state.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Mental disorders, COVID-19-related life-saving measures and mortality in France: A nationwide cohort study.PLoS medicine · 2023Article
- Infection with SARS-CoV-2 variant Gamma (P.1) in Chile increased ICU admission risk three to five-fold.PloS one · 2023Article
- Absence of Mortality Differences Between the First and Second COVID-19 Waves in Kidney Transplant Recipients.Kidney international reports · 2022Article
- What is the role of aerosol transmission in SARS-Cov-2 Omicron spread in Shanghai?BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Using Random Effect Models to Produce Robust Estimates of Death Rates in COVID-19 Data.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Transition matrices model as a way to better understand and predict intra-hospital pathways of covid-19 patients.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- From individual-based epidemic models to McKendrick-von Foerster PDEs: a guide to modeling and inferring COVID-19 dynamics.Journal of mathematical biology · 2022Article
- Article
- Modeling transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron in China.Nature medicine · 2022Article
- Severe hospital events following symptomatic infection with Sars-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta variants in France, December 2021-January 2022: A retrospective, population-based, matched cohort study.EClinicalMedicine · 2022Article
- Evaluating COVID-19 Booster Vaccination Strategies in a Partially Vaccinated Population: A Modeling Study.Vaccines · 2022Article
- Observational
- Severity of infection with the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 lineage among hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Belgium.PloS one · 2022Observational
- Impact of COVID - 19 in patients awaiting liver transplantation.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2022Article
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10 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
backgroundAs SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread, a thorough characterisation of healthcare needs and patient outcomes, and how they have changed over time, is essential to inform planning.
methodsWe developed a probabilistic framework to analyse detailed patient trajectories from 198,846 hospitalisations in France during the first nine months of the pandemic. Our model accounts for the varying age- and sex- distribution of patients, and explore changes in outcome probabilities as well as length of stay.
findingsWe found that there were marked changes in the age and sex of hospitalisations over the study period. In particular, the proportion of hospitalised individuals that were >80y varied between 27% and 48% over the course of the epidemic, and was lowest during the inter-peak period. The probability of hospitalised patients entering ICU dropped from 0·25 (0·24-0·26) to 0·13 (0·12-0·14) over the four first months as case numbers fell, before rising to 0·19 (0·19-0·20) during the second wave. The probability of death followed a similar trajectory, falling from 0·25 (0·24-0·26) to 0·10 (0·09-0·11) after the first wave before increasing again during the second wave to 0·19 (0·18-0·19). Overall, we find both the probability of death and the probability of entering ICU were significantly correlated with COVID-19 ICU occupancy.
interpretationThere are large scale trends in patients outcomes by age, sex and over time. These need to be considered in ongoing healthcare planning efforts.
fundingINCEPTION.
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