Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34101938›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2021

Siberian plants shift their phenology in response to climate change.

Sergey Rosbakh, Florian Hartig, Denis V Sandanov, Evgenya V Bukharova, Tara K Miller, Richard B Primack

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
24.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 83 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. The reduced growth due to elevated COFrontiers in plant science · 2024
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  11. Analysis of the Potential Range ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
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  14. Vessels in aFrontiers in plant science · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Sergey RosbakhEcology and Nature Conservation Biology, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-6943
Florian HartigTheoretical Ecology, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6255-9059
Denis V SandanovInstitute of General and Experimental Biology, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ulan-Ude, Russia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8504-3485
Evgenya V BukharovaFSE 'Zapovednoe Podlemorye', Ulan-Ude, Russian Federation.
Tara K MillerDepartment of Biology, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2827-4578
Richard B PrimackDepartment of Biology, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3748-9853
Boston University · USCentral Siberian Botanical Garden · RUInstitute of General and Experimental Biology · RUUniversity of Regensburg · DE

Funding

BayHostRussian Federal Budget 121030900138-8Russian Geographic Society 23/2019
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Siberia has undergone dramatic climatic changes due to global warming in recent decades. Yet, the ecological responses to these climatic changes are still poorly understood due to a lack of data. Here, we use a unique data set from the Russian 'Chronicles of Nature' network to analyse the long-term (1976-2018) phenological shifts in leaf out, flowering, fruiting and senescence of 67 common Siberian plant species. We find that Siberian boreal forest plants advanced their early season (leaf out and flowering) and mid-season (fruiting) phenology by -2.2, -0.7 and -1.6 days/decade, and delayed the onset of senescence by 1.6 days/decade during this period. These mean values, however, are subject to substantial intraspecific variability, which is partly explained by the plants' growth forms. Trees and shrubs advanced leaf out and flowering (-3.1 and -3.3. days/decade) faster than herbs (-1 day/decade), presumably due to the more direct exposure of leaf and flower buds to ambient air for the woody vegetation. For senescence, we detected a reverse pattern: stronger delays in herbs (2.1 days/decade) than in woody plants (1.0-1.2 days/decade), presumably due to the stronger effects of autumn frosts on the leaves of herbs. Interestingly, the timing of fruiting in all four growth forms advanced at similar paces, from 1.4 days/decade in shrubs to 1.7 days/decade in trees and herbs. Our findings point to a strong, yet heterogeneous, response of Siberian plant phenology to recent global warming. Furthermore, the results highlight that species- and growth form-specific differences among study species could be used to identify plants particularly at risk of decline due to their low adaptive capacity or a loss of synchronization with important interaction partners.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeTreesGlobal WarmingPlant LeavesSeasonsTemperatureclimate changeflowerfruitleaf outlong-term observationphenologysenescenceSiberia

Identifiers

PMID34101938
PMCPMC13420798
OpenAlexW3172211496

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.