Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34100239›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2022

Temporal Patterns of High-Spend Subgroups Can Inform Service Strategy for Medicare Advantage Enrollees.

Samuel J Amodeo, Henrik F Kowalkowski, Halley L Brantley, Nicholas W Jones, Lauren R Bangerter, David J Cook

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Samuel J AmodeoOptumLabs at UnitedHealth Group, Minneapolis, MN, USA. samuelamodeo@uhg.com.ORCID 0000-0002-1820-6205
Henrik F KowalkowskiOptumLabs at UnitedHealth Group, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Halley L BrantleyOptumLabs at UnitedHealth Group, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Nicholas W JonesDepartment of Health Services, Policy, and Practice, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Lauren R BangerterOptumLabs at UnitedHealth Group, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
David J CookOptumLabs at UnitedHealth Group, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Optum (United States) · USBrown University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMost healthcare costs are concentrated in a small proportion of individuals with complex social, medical, behavioral, and clinical needs that are poorly met by a fee-for-service healthcare system. Efforts to reduce cost in the top decile have shown limited effectiveness. Understanding patient subgroups within the top decile is a first step toward designing more effective and targeted interventions.

objectiveSegment the top decile based on spending and clinical characteristics and examine the temporal movement of individuals in and out of the top decile.

designRetrospective claims data analysis.

participantsUnitedHealthcare Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollees (N = 1,504,091) continuously enrolled from 2016 to 2019. MAIN MEASURES: Medical (physician, inpatient, outpatient) and pharmacy claims for services submitted for third-party reimbursement under Medicare Advantage, available as International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) and National Drug Codes (NDC) claims. KEY

resultsThe top decile was segmented into three distinct subgroups characterized by different drivers of cost: (1) Catastrophic: acute events (acute myocardial infarction and hip/pelvic fracture), (2) persistent: medications, and (3) semi-persistent chronic conditions and frailty indicators. These groups show different patterns of spending across time. Each year, 79% of the catastrophic group dropped out of the top decile. In contrast, 68-70% of the persistent group and 36-37% of the semi-persistent group remained in the top decile year over year. These groups also show different 1-year mortality rates, which are highest among semi-persistent members at 17.5-18.5%, compared to 12% and 13-14% for catastrophic and persistent members, respectively.

conclusionsThe top decile consists of subgroups with different needs and spending patterns. Interventions to reduce utilization and expenditures may show more effectiveness if they account for the different characteristics and care needs of these subgroups.

Indexed as

Medicare Part CAgedFee-for-Service PlansHealth Care CostsHealth ExpendituresHumansRetrospective StudiesUnited Statescomplex patientshigh-cost patientsMedicare Advantagesegmenting

Identifiers

PMID34100239
PMCPMC9198168
OpenAlexW3170611043

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.