Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34098432›Full record

ArticleEconomics and human biology2021

Did Covid-19 hit harder in peripheral areas? The case of Italian municipalities.

Francesco Armillei, Francesco Filippucci, Thomas Fletcher

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Economics and human biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Education and COVID-19 excess mortality.Economics and human biology · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Francesco ArmilleiFondazione Ing. Rodolfo Debenedetti, Milan, Italy. Electronic address: francesco.armillei@frdb.org.
Francesco FilippucciParis School of Economics, France. Electronic address: francesco.filippucci@psemail.eu.
Thomas FletcherUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom. Electronic address: T.Fletcher-6@sms.ed.ac.uk.
Fondazione FADOI · ITParis School of Economics · FRUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The first wave of Covid-19 pandemic had a geographically heterogeneous impact even within the most severely hit regions. Exploiting a triple-differences methodology, we find that in Italy Covid-19 hit relatively harder in peripheral areas: the excess mortality in peripheral areas was almost double that of central ones in March 2020 (1.2 additional deaths every 1000 inhabitants). We leverage a rich dataset on Italian municipalities to explore mechanisms behind this gradient. We first show that socio-demographic and economic features at municipal level are highly collinear, making it hard to identify single-variable causal relationships. Using Principal Components Analysis we model excess mortality and show that areas with higher excess mortality have lower income, lower education, larger households, lower trade and higher industrial employments, and older population. Our findings highlight a strong centre-periphery gradient in the harshness of Covid-19, which we believe is also highly relevant from a policy-making standpoint.

Indexed as

CitiesCOVID-19HumansItalyMalePandemicsResidence CharacteristicsSARS-CoV-2Socioeconomic FactorsCovid-19 diffusionGeographical inequalitiesHealth geographyPeriphery

Identifiers

PMID34098432
PMCPMC9760208
OpenAlexW3165460991

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.