ArticleAIDS and behavior2021
Incidence of HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2000-2015: The Interplay Between Social Determinants and Behavioral Risk Factors.
Article in AIDS and behavior, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Transactional sex among women in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2023Pooled it
- The intersecting effects of race/ethnicity, wealth, education, and gender on AIDS among 28.3 million Brazilians.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Predictors of mortality among individuals with advanced HIV disease in a contemporary Brazilian cohort.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2026Article
- Improving social determinants of health significantly reduces AIDS incidence: a modelling study of 1.17 million individuals in Brazil.BMJ global health · 2025Article
- Development of an electronic health record-based Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) risk prediction model for women, incorporating social determinants of health.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Clustering and modeling joint-trajectories of HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis mortality rates using bayesian multi-process latent growth model: A global study from 1990 to 2021.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Mechanistic modeling of social conditions in disease-prediction simulations via copulas and probabilistic graphical models: HIV case study.Health care management science · 2025Article
- Predictors of mortality among individuals with advanced HIV disease in a contemporary Brazilian cohort.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2025Article
- Understanding the contexts in which female sex workers sell sex in Kampala, Uganda: a qualitative study.BMC women's health · 2024Article
- Prevalence and predictors of HIV-related disability among people living with HIV in Nigeria.The South African journal of physiotherapy · 2024Article
- The effects of social determinants of health on acquired immune deficiency syndrome in a low-income population of Brazil: a retrospective cohort study of 28.3 million individuals.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2023Article
- Modeling the Impact of Social Determinants of Health on HIV.AIDS and behavior · 2021Article
- Disrupting the Systems: Opportunities to Enhance Methodological Approaches to Address Socio-Structural Determinants of HIV and End the Epidemic Through Effective Community Engagement.AIDS and behavior · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa declined substantially between 2000 and 2015. In this analysis, we consider the relative associations of nine structural and individual determinants with this decline. A linear mixed effects model of logged HIV incidence rates versus determinants was used. The data were from mathematical modelling as part of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study in 43 sub-Saharan African countries. We used forwards selection to determine a single final model of HIV incidence rate. The association of economic variables and HIV knowledge with incidence was found to be driven by education, while ART coverage had the largest impact on other determinants' coefficients. In the final model, education years per capita contributed the most to explaining variation in HIV incidence rates; a 1-year increase in mean education years was associated with a 0.39 (- 0.56; - 0.2, t = - 4.48 p < 0.01) % decline in incidence rate while a unit increase in ART coverage was associated with a 0.81 (- 1.34; - 0.28, t = - 3.01, p < 0.01) % decline in incidence rate.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.