Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34088959›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Slight reduction in SARS-CoV-2 exposure viral load due to masking results in a significant reduction in transmission with widespread implementation.

Ashish Goyal, Daniel B Reeves, Niket Thakkar, Mike Famulare, E Fabián Cardozo-Ojeda, Bryan T Mayer, Joshua T Schiffer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Viral Dynamic Models During COVID-19: Are We Ready for the Next Pandemic?CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. COVID-19: did the masks work?Future microbiology · 2024
    Article
  9. Analysis of the risk and pre-emptive control of viral outbreaks accounting for within-host dynamics: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Education and COVID-19 excess mortality.Economics and human biology · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Observational
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ashish GoyalVaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA.
Daniel B ReevesVaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA.
Niket ThakkarInstitute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, USA.
Mike FamulareInstitute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, USA.
E Fabián Cardozo-OjedaVaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA.
Bryan T Mayer *Vaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA.
Joshua T Schiffer *Vaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA. jschiffe@fredhutch.org.

Funding

SDMC: HIV Vaccine Trials NetworkUM1AI068635 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Peter B. Gilbert, Yunda Huang · 2011 to 2026
$385.9M
Simulating persistence and elimination of the HIV reservoirK25AI155224 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI REEVES, DANIEL · 2020 to 2024
$581k
NIAID NIH HHS K25 AI155224NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068635
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Masks are a vital tool for limiting SARS-CoV-2 spread in the population. Here we utilize a mathematical model to assess the impact of masking on transmission within individual transmission pairs and at the population level. Our model quantitatively links mask efficacy to reductions in viral load and subsequent transmission risk. Our results reinforce that the use of masks by both a potential transmitter and exposed person substantially reduces the probability of successful transmission, even if masks only lower exposure viral load by ~ 50%. Slight increases in mask adherence and/or efficacy above current levels would reduce the effective reproductive number (R

Indexed as

MasksViral LoadBasic Reproduction NumberCOVID-19HumansModels, BiologicalProbabilitySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34088959
PMCPMC8178300

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.