Prognostic analysis and beneficiary identification of adjuvant external beam radiotherapy for stage pT4b sigmoid colon cancer.

The clinical efficacy of adjuvant radiotherapy in sigmoid colon cancer remains questioned. To evaluate the clinical efficacy of adjuvant external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) for patients with pathologic stage T4b sigmoid colon cancer. Patients with stage pT4b sigmoid colon cancer receiving adjuvant EBRT or not followed by surgery between 2004 and 2016 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Analysis of overall survival (OS) was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and prognostic factors were identified using Cox proportional hazards regression models with 95% confidence intervals within the entire cohort. A risk-stratification system was then developed based on the β regression coefficient. Among 2073 patients, 284 (13.7%) underwent adjuvant EBRT. The median OS in the group receiving adjuvant EBRT was significantly longer than that in the non-radiotherapy group (p < 0.001). Age, serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, perineural invasion, lymph node dissection (LND) number, and adjuvant EBRT were independent factors associated with OS. A risk-stratification system was generated, which showed that low-risk patients had a higher 5-year survival rate than high-risk patients (75.6% vs. 42.3%, p < 0.001). Adjuvant EBRT significantly prolonged the 5-year survival rate of high-risk patients (62.6% vs. 38.3%, p = 0.009) but showed no survival benefit among low-risk patients (87.7% vs. 73.2%, p = 0.100). Our risk-stratification model comprising age, serum CEA, perineural invasion, and LND number predicted the outcomes of patients with stage pT4b sigmoid colon cancer based on which subgroup of high-risk patients should receive adjuvant EBRT.