Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34061831›Full record

SynthesisPLoS medicine2021

Blood pressure-lowering treatment for the prevention of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: An individual participant data meta-analysis.

Ana-Catarina Pinho-Gomes, Luis Azevedo, Emma Copland, Dexter Canoy, Milad Nazarzadeh, Rema Ramakrishnan, Eivind Berge, Johan Sundström, Dipak Kotecha, Mark Woodward and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PLoS medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Guideline
  5. Guideline
  6. Pooled it
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Perioperative atrial fibrillation after non-cardiac surgery - A narrative review.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2026
    Review
  11. Article
  12. The Japanese Society of Hypertension Guidelines for the management of elevated blood pressure and hypertension 2025 (JSH2025).Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. 2025 Thai guideline for the diagnosis and management of atrial fibrillation.Asian biomedicine : research, reviews and news · 2025
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 12 institutions in 7 countries.

Ana-Catarina Pinho-GomesFaculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9895-1493
Luis AzevedoDepartment of Community Medicine, Information and Health Decision Sciences, Centre for Health Technology and Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal.ORCID 0000-0002-8421-2937
Emma CoplandDeep Medicine, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9280-5241
Dexter CanoyDeep Medicine, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4493-9901
Milad NazarzadehDeep Medicine, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0576-8874
Rema RamakrishnanDeep Medicine, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6784-8319
Eivind BergeDepartment of Cardiology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Johan SundströmDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-2247-8454
Dipak KotechaInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-2570-9812
Mark WoodwardThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9800-5296
Koon TeoPopulation Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Barry R DavisThe University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, Texas, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6943-5673
John ChalmersThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9931-0580
Carl J PepineDepartment of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America.
Kazem RahimiDeep Medicine, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4807-4610
Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists’ Collaboration
University of Oxford · GBNational Health Service · GBJohns Hopkins University · USKing's College London · GBOslo University Hospital · NOPopulation Health Research Institute · CAThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USUniversidade do Porto · PTUniversity of Birmingham · GBUniversity of Florida · USUNSW Sydney · AUUppsala University · SE

Funding

British Heart Foundation FS/19/36/34346British Heart Foundation FS/19/64/34673British Heart Foundation PG/18/65/33872
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRandomised evidence on the efficacy of blood pressure (BP)-lowering treatment to reduce cardiovascular risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the effects of BP-lowering drugs in patients with and without AF at baseline. METHODS AND

findingsThe study was based on the resource provided by the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (BPLTTC), in which individual participant data (IPD) were extracted from trials with over 1,000 patient-years of follow-up in each arm, and that had randomly assigned patients to different classes of BP-lowering drugs, BP-lowering drugs versus placebo, or more versus less intensive BP-lowering regimens. For this study, only trials that had collected information on AF status at baseline were included. The effects of BP-lowering treatment on a composite endpoint of major cardiovascular events (stroke, ischaemic heart disease or heart failure) according to AF status at baseline were estimated using fixed-effect one-stage IPD meta-analyses based on Cox proportional hazards models stratified by trial. Furthermore, to assess whether the associations between the intensity of BP reduction and cardiovascular outcomes are similar in those with and without AF at baseline, we used a meta-regression. From the full BPLTTC database, 28 trials (145,653 participants) were excluded because AF status at baseline was uncertain or unavailable. A total of 22 trials were included with 188,570 patients, of whom 13,266 (7%) had AF at baseline. Risk of bias assessment showed that 20 trials were at low risk of bias and 2 trials at moderate risk. Meta-regression showed that relative risk reductions were proportional to trial-level intensity of BP lowering in patients with and without AF at baseline. Over 4.5 years of median follow-up, a 5-mm Hg systolic BP (SBP) reduction lowered the risk of major cardiovascular events both in patients with AF (hazard ratio [HR] 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83 to 1.00) and in patients without AF at baseline (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.93), with no difference between subgroups. There was no evidence for heterogeneity of treatment effects by baseline SBP or drug class in patients with AF at baseline. The findings of this study need to be interpreted in light of its potential limitations, such as the limited number of trials, limitation in ascertaining AF cases due to the nature of the arrhythmia and measuring BP in patients with AF.

conclusionsIn this meta-analysis, we found that BP-lowering treatment reduces the risk of major cardiovascular events similarly in individuals with and without AF. Pharmacological BP lowering for prevention of cardiovascular events should be recommended in patients with AF.

Indexed as

AgedAntihypertensive AgentsAtrial FibrillationBlood PressureCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHeart FailureHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial IschemiaProtective FactorsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAntihypertensive Agents

Identifiers

PMID34061831
PMCPMC8168843
OpenAlexW3165869223

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.