Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34061027›Full record

ArticleeLife2021

Contingency and chance erase necessity in the experimental evolution of ancestral proteins.

Victoria Cochran Xie, Jinyue Pu, Brian Ph Metzger, Joseph W Thornton, Bryan C Dickinson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Epistatic drift in protein evolution.Current opinion in genetics & development · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. High-throughput protein binder discovery by rapid in vivo selection.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Virus-assisted directed evolution of biomolecules.Current opinion in chemical biology · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Victoria Cochran Xie *Department of Chemistry, University of Chicago, Chicago, United States.
Jinyue Pu *Department of Chemistry, University of Chicago, Chicago, United States.
Brian Ph Metzger *Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-4878-2913
Joseph W ThorntonDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-9589-6994
Bryan C DickinsonDepartment of Chemistry, University of Chicago, Chicago, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9616-1911

Funding

Comprehensive analysis of fitness effects and epistasis along a billion-year evolutionary trajectoryR01GM139007 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI BOLON, DANIEL N, THORNTON, JOSEPH W · 2021 to 2024
$2.2M
Deep characterization of the sequence space and evolutionary trajectories of reconstructed ancestral proteins - Resubmission 01R01GM121931 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI THORNTON, JOSEPH W · 2017 to 2020
$1.3M
Evolution of molecular complexes: genetic, structural, and functional mechanisms for the evolution of oligomers and allosteryR01GM131128 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI THORNTON, JOSEPH W · 2019 to 2021
$904k
Evolving and characterizing alternative paths towards changes in DNA specificity of steroid hormone receptorsF32GM122251 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI METZGER, BRIAN PATRICK HANSEN · 2017 to 2019
$179k
NIGMS NIH HHS F32 GM122251NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM121931NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM131128NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM139007
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The roles of chance, contingency, and necessity in evolution are unresolved because they have never been assessed in a single system or on timescales relevant to historical evolution. We combined ancestral protein reconstruction and a new continuous evolution technology to mutate and select proteins in the B-cell lymphoma-2 (BCL-2) family to acquire protein-protein interaction specificities that occurred during animal evolution. By replicating evolutionary trajectories from multiple ancestral proteins, we found that contingency generated over long historical timescales steadily erased necessity and overwhelmed chance as the primary cause of acquired sequence variation; trajectories launched from phylogenetically distant proteins yielded virtually no common mutations, even under strong and identical selection pressures. Chance arose because many sets of mutations could alter specificity at any timepoint; contingency arose because historical substitutions changed these sets. Our results suggest that patterns of variation in BCL-2 sequences - and likely other proteins, too - are idiosyncratic products of a particular and unpredictable course of historical events.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularMutationAnimalsEpistasis, GeneticGene DuplicationHumansModels, MolecularMyeloid Cell Leukemia Sequence 1 ProteinPhylogenyProtein BindingProtein Interaction Domains and MotifsProto-Oncogene Proteins c-bcl-2Time FactorsBCL2 protein, humanMCL1 protein, humanMyeloid Cell Leukemia Sequence 1 ProteinProto-Oncogene Proteins c-bcl-2ancestral protein reconstructioncontinuous directed evolutionE. coliepistasisevolutionary biologygenetic variancePACEprotein-protein interactions

Identifiers

PMID34061027
PMCPMC8282340

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.