Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34056305›Full record

ArticleACS omega2021

Data-Driven Proxy Model for Forecasting of Cumulative Oil Production during the Steam-Assisted Gravity Drainage Process.

Yang Yu, Shangqi Liu, Yang Liu, Yu Bao, Lixia Zhang, Yintao Dong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ACS omega, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yang YuPetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing 100083, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1196-000X
Shangqi LiuPetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing 100083, China.
Yang LiuPetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing 100083, China.
Yu BaoPetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing 100083, China.
Lixia ZhangPetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing 100083, China.
Yintao DongCNOOC Research Institute, Beijing 100028, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to develop a data-driven proxy model for forecasting of cumulative oil (Cum-oil) production during the steam-assisted gravity drainage process. During the model building process, an artificial neural network (ANN) is used to offer a complementary and computationally efficient tool for the physics-driven model, and the von Bertalanffy performance indicator is used to bridge the physics-driven model with the ANN. After that, the accuracy of the model is validated by blind-testing cases. Average absolute percentage error of related parameters of the performance indicator in the testing data set is 0.77%, and the error of Cum-oil production after 20 years is 0.52%. The results illustrate that the integration of performance indicator and ANN makes it possible to solve time series problems in an efficient way. Besides, the data-driven proxy model could be applied to fast parametric studies, quick uncertainty analysis with the Monte Carlo method, and average daily oil production prediction. The findings of this study could help for better understanding of combination of physics-driven model and data-driven model and illustrate the potential for application of the data-driven proxy model to help reservoir engineers, making better use of this significant thermal recovery technology for oil sands or heavy oil reservoirs.

Identifiers

PMID34056305
PMCPMC8153974

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.