Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34054336›Full record

ArticleJournal of geographical systems2022

The propagation effect of commuting to work in the spatial transmission of COVID-19.

Timo Mitze, Reinhold Kosfeld

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of geographical systems, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. A Bayesian mixture model for Poisson network autoregression.Social network analysis and mining · 2025
    Article
  4. COVID-19-related hospital admission in spouses of partners in at-risk occupations.Scandinavian journal of work, environment & health · 2023
    Article
  5. A Model for Highly Fluctuating Spatio-Temporal Infection Data, with Applications to the COVID Epidemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
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  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Timo MitzeUniversity of Southern Denmark, RWI and RCEA, Alsion 2, 6400 Sønderborg, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-3799-5200
Reinhold KosfeldUniversity of Kassel, Nora-Platiel-Str. 4, 34109 Kassel, Germany.
University of Kassel · DEUniversity of Southern Denmark · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This work is concerned with the spatiotemporal dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Germany. Our goal is twofold: first, we propose a novel spatial econometric model of the epidemic spread across NUTS-3 regions to identify the role played by commuting-to-work patterns for spatial disease transmission. Second, we explore if the imposed containment (lockdown) measures during the first pandemic wave in spring 2020 have affected the strength of this transmission channel. Our results from a spatial panel error correction model indicate that, without containment measures in place, commuting-to-work patterns were the first factor to significantly determine the spatial dynamics of daily COVID-19 cases in Germany. This indicates that job commuting, particularly during the initial phase of a pandemic wave, should be regarded and accordingly monitored as a relevant spatial transmission channel of COVID-19 in a system of economically interconnected regions. Our estimation results also provide evidence for the triggering role of local hot spots in disease transmission and point to the effectiveness of containment measures in mitigating the spread of the virus across German regions through reduced job commuting and other forms of mobility. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10109-021-00349-3.

Indexed as

Containment measuresCOVID-19Job commutingLockdownMobilitySARS-CoV-2Spatial econometrics

Identifiers

PMID34054336
PMCPMC8141278
OpenAlexW3164609737

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.