Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34048918›Full record

ArticleJournal of cardiac failure2021

Effects of Neighborhood-level Data on Performance and Algorithmic Equity of a Model That Predicts 30-day Heart Failure Readmissions at an Urban Academic Medical Center.

Gary E Weissman, Stephanie Teeple, Nwamaka D Eneanya, Rebecca A Hubbard, Shreya Kangovi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cardiac failure, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Gary E WeissmanDepartment of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Palliative and Advanced Illness Research (PAIR) Center, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Leonard Davis Institute for Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. Electronic address: Gary.weissman@pennmedicine.upenn.edu.
Stephanie TeepleDepartment of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, & Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Nwamaka D EneanyaDepartment of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Palliative and Advanced Illness Research (PAIR) Center, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Leonard Davis Institute for Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, & Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Rebecca A HubbardDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, & Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Shreya KangoviDepartment of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Leonard Davis Institute for Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn Center for Community Health Workers, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

Funding

Using natural language processing and machine learning to identify potentially preventable hospital admissions among outpatients with chronic lung diseasesK23HL141639 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI WEISSMAN, GARY · 2018 to 2022
$933k
Modifying Behavioral Response to Failure among Patients with Cardiovascular Disease Risk FactorsK23HL128837 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI KANGOVI, SHREYA · 2016 to 2019
$695k
Health Inequality and a Machine Learning-Based Tool for Emergency Department Triage: A Mixed Methods ApproachF31LM013403 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI TEEPLE, STEPHANIE · 2020 to 2022
$118k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL128837NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL141639NLM NIH HHS F31 LM013403
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSocioeconomic data may improve predictions of clinical events. However, owing to structural racism, algorithms may not perform equitably across racial subgroups. Therefore, we sought to compare the predictive performance overall, and by racial subgroup, of commonly used predictor variables for heart failure readmission with and without the area deprivation index (ADI), a neighborhood-level socioeconomic measure. METHODS AND

resultsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1316 Philadelphia residents discharged with a primary diagnosis of congestive heart failure from the University of Pennsylvania Health System between April 1, 2015, and March 31, 2017. We trained a regression model to predict the probability of a 30-day readmission using clinical and demographic variables. A second model also included the ADI as a predictor variable. We measured predictive performance with the Brier Score (BS) in a held-out test set. The baseline model had moderate performance overall (BS 0.13, 95% CI 0.13-0.14), and among White (BS 0.12, 95% CI 0.12-0.13) and non-White (BS 0.13, 95% CI 0.13-0.14) patients. Neither performance nor algorithmic equity were significantly changed with the addition of the ADI.

conclusionsThe inclusion of neighborhood-level data may not reliably improve performance or algorithmic equity.

Indexed as

Heart FailurePatient ReadmissionAcademic Medical CentersHumansResidence CharacteristicsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsAlgorithmic equitycongestive heart failurehospital readmission

Identifiers

PMID34048918
PMCPMC8434976

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.