Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34043841›Full record

ReviewReviews in medical virology2022

Quantifying the risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection over time.

Eamon O Murchu, Paula Byrne, Paul G Carty, Cillian De Gascun, Mary Keogan, Michelle O'Neill, Patricia Harrington, Máirín Ryan

Open access · greenAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Reviews in medical virology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 99 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Reinfection in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review.Global health research and policy · 2022
    Pooled it
  5. CD4Frontiers in immunology · 2026
    Article
  6. The Effect of SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection on Long-Term Symptoms in the Innovative Support for Patients With SARS-CoV-2 Infections Registry (INSPIRE).Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Eamon O MurchuHealth Information and Quality Authority, George's Court, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3926-0179
Paula ByrneHealth Information and Quality Authority, George's Court, Dublin, Ireland.
Paul G CartyHealth Information and Quality Authority, George's Court, Dublin, Ireland.
Cillian De GascunUCD National Virus Reference Laboratory, Dublin, Ireland.
Mary KeoganBeaumont Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.
Michelle O'NeillHealth Information and Quality Authority, George's Court, Dublin, Ireland.
Patricia HarringtonHealth Information and Quality Authority, George's Court, Dublin, Ireland.
Máirín RyanHealth Information and Quality Authority, George's Court, Dublin, Ireland.
Health and Safety Authority · IETrinity College Dublin · IEBeaumont Hospital · IENational University of Ireland · IE

Funding

Health Research Board HRB-CICER-2016-1871
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite over 140 million SARS-CoV-2 infections worldwide since the beginning of the pandemic, relatively few confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection have been reported. While immunity from SARS-CoV-2 infection is probable, at least in the short term, few studies have quantified the reinfection risk. To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review to synthesise the evidence on the risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection over time. A standardised protocol was employed, based on Cochrane methodology. Electronic databases and preprint servers were searched from 1 January 2020 to 19 February 2021. Eleven large cohort studies were identified that estimated the risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection over time, including three that enrolled healthcare workers and two that enrolled residents and staff of elderly care homes. Across studies, the total number of PCR-positive or antibody-positive participants at baseline was 615,777, and the maximum duration of follow-up was more than 10 months in three studies. Reinfection was an uncommon event (absolute rate 0%-1.1%), with no study reporting an increase in the risk of reinfection over time. Only one study estimated the population-level risk of reinfection based on whole genome sequencing in a subset of patients; the estimated risk was low (0.1% [95% CI: 0.08-0.11%]) with no evidence of waning immunity for up to 7 months following primary infection. These data suggest that naturally acquired SARS-CoV-2 immunity does not wane for at least 10 months post-infection. However, the applicability of these studies to new variants or to vaccine-induced immunity remains uncertain.

Indexed as

COVID-19ReinfectionSARS-CoV-2AgedCOVID-19 VaccinesHumansPandemicsCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID-19reinfectionSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34043841
PMCPMC8209951
OpenAlexW3165369455

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.