Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34043172›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science and pollution research international2021

Predicting COVID-19 cases using bidirectional LSTM on multivariate time series.

Ahmed Ben Said, Abdelkarim Erradi, Hussein Ahmed Aly, Abdelmonem Mohamed

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental science and pollution research international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ahmed Ben SaidComputer Science and Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Qatar University, 2713, Doha, Qatar. abensaid@qu.edu.qa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7760-8132
Abdelkarim ErradiComputer Science and Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Qatar University, 2713, Doha, Qatar.
Hussein Ahmed AlyComputer Science and Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Qatar University, 2713, Doha, Qatar.
Abdelmonem MohamedComputer Science and Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Qatar University, 2713, Doha, Qatar.

Funding

Qatar National Research Fund RRC-2-104
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To assist policymakers in making adequate decisions to stop the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. This paper presents a deep learning approach to forecast the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases using bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) network applied to multivariate time series. Unlike other forecasting techniques, our proposed approach first groups the countries having similar demographic and socioeconomic aspects and health sector indicators using K-means clustering algorithm. The cumulative case data of the clustered countries enriched with data related to the lockdown measures are fed to the bidirectional LSTM to train the forecasting model. We validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach by studying the disease outbreak in Qatar and the proposed model prediction from December 1st until December 31st, 2020. The quantitative evaluation shows that the proposed technique outperforms state-of-art forecasting approaches.

Indexed as

COVID-19AlgorithmsCommunicable Disease ControlForecastingHumansPandemicsQatarBi-LSTMClusteringCOVID-19Cumulative cases

Identifiers

PMID34043172
PMCPMC8155803

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.