Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34041457›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2021

Trends in medicare spending across strata of resource utilization among older individuals in the United States.

Christopher J D Wallis, Sabrina J Poon, Pikki Lai, Liliana Podczerwinki, Melinda Beeuwkes Buntin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Healthcare spending for non-fatal falls among older adults, USA.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2024
    Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Christopher J D WallisFellow, Department of Urology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, United States.
Sabrina J PoonAssistant Professor, Department of Emergency Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, United States.
Pikki LaiHealth Policy Analyst, Department of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, United States.
Liliana PodczerwinkiHealth Policy Analyst, Department of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, United States.
Melinda Beeuwkes BuntinChair, Department of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHealth care spending is an increasing proportion of government expenditures in most Western countries. How this growth is distributed between individuals with minimal compared to high health care utilization is unknown.

methodsWe examined total and per-capita government expenditure in an observational cohort of fee-for-service U.S. Medicare enrollees aged ≥65 years from 2007 to 2018. We categorized patients into annual resource utilization strata. We examined annualized changes in adjusted spending across resource utilization strata and the distribution of spending within and across strata for a variety of health care settings.

findingsExamining 314,593,489 beneficiary-years of coverage, the top 1% of beneficiaries accounted for 14.9% of all expenditures, the top 5% for 41.5%, the top 10% for 60.0%, the top 20% for 79.1%, and the top 50% for 95.7%. Annual expenditures remained relatively stable from 2007 to 2018, with annual mean change of 0.7% (standard deviation 1.1%; median 1.1%) and mean per capita change of 0.4% (standard deviation 1·6%; median 0·3%). Changes were similar across strata with mean increases <1% in all, save for the <50th percentile strata (mean annual growth=1·9%), a significant difference (

interpretationIn the U.S. from 2007 to 2018, Medicare spending has a Pareto distribution in which 80% of the costs are attributable to 20% of beneficiaries. Despite low overall Medicare spending growth from 2007 to 2018, growth has been greatest among those in the lowest spending group.

fundingThe Commonwealth Fund (20,202,411).

Indexed as

BudgetsCosts and cost analysisDelivery of health careHealth expendituresMedicare

Identifiers

PMID34041457
PMCPMC8144657

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.