Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34035236›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Longitudinal analysis of blood markers reveals progressive loss of resilience and predicts human lifespan limit.

Timothy V Pyrkov, Konstantin Avchaciov, Andrei E Tarkhov, Leonid I Menshikov, Andrei V Gudkov, Peter O Fedichev

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Embracing non-linearity in human ageing.Nature reviews. Genetics · 2026
    Review
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  10. Review
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  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Dynamical Network Stability Analysis of Multiple Biological Ages Provides a Framework for Understanding the Aging Process.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
    Article
  19. Observational
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Timothy V PyrkovGero PTE, Singapore, Singapore. tim.pyrkov@gero.ai.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1503-0398
Konstantin AvchaciovGero PTE, Singapore, Singapore.
Andrei E TarkhovGero PTE, Singapore, Singapore.
Leonid I MenshikovGero PTE, Singapore, Singapore.
Andrei V GudkovRoswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Elm and Carlton streets, Buffalo, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2548-0154
Peter O FedichevGero PTE, Singapore, Singapore. peter.fedichev@gero.ai.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We investigated the dynamic properties of the organism state fluctuations along individual aging trajectories in a large longitudinal database of CBC measurements from a consumer diagnostics laboratory. To simplify the analysis, we used a log-linear mortality estimate from the CBC variables as a single quantitative measure of the aging process, henceforth referred to as dynamic organism state indicator (DOSI). We observed, that the age-dependent population DOSI distribution broadening could be explained by a progressive loss of physiological resilience measured by the DOSI auto-correlation time. Extrapolation of this trend suggested that DOSI recovery time and variance would simultaneously diverge at a critical point of 120 - 150 years of age corresponding to a complete loss of resilience. The observation was immediately confirmed by the independent analysis of correlation properties of intraday physical activity levels fluctuations collected by wearable devices. We conclude that the criticality resulting in the end of life is an intrinsic biological property of an organism that is independent of stress factors and signifies a fundamental or absolute limit of human lifespan.

Indexed as

Resilience, PsychologicalAdaptation, PhysiologicalAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAgingBiomarkersBlood Cell CountFemaleHealth StatusHumansLongevityLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID34035236
PMCPMC8149842

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.