Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34031414›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Global health effects of future atmospheric mercury emissions.

Yanxu Zhang, Zhengcheng Song, Shaojian Huang, Peng Zhang, Yiming Peng, Peipei Wu, Jing Gu, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Huanxin Zhang, Shiliang Wu and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Elevated atmospheric CONature communications · 2025
    Article
  10. IncorporatingEco-Environment & Health · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Yanxu ZhangSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China. zhangyx@nju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7770-3466
Zhengcheng SongSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.
Shaojian HuangSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.
Peng ZhangSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.
Yiming PengSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.
Peipei WuSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.
Jing GuSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.
Stephanie DutkiewiczDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Huanxin ZhangDepartment of Chemical and Biochemical Engineering, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA.
Shiliang WuGeological and Mining Engineering and Sciences, Michigan Technological University, Houghton, MI, USA.
Feiyue WangCentre for Earth Observation Science, Department of Environment and Geography, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5297-0859
Long ChenKey Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9574-7307
Shuxiao WangSchool of Environment, State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9727-1963
Ping LiState Key Laboratory of Environmental Geochemistry, Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guiyang, P. R. China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mercury is a potent neurotoxin that poses health risks to the global population. Anthropogenic mercury emissions to the atmosphere are projected to decrease in the future due to enhanced policy efforts such as the Minamata Convention, a legally-binding international treaty entered into force in 2017. Here, we report the development of a comprehensive climate-atmosphere-land-ocean-ecosystem and exposure-risk model framework for mercury and its application to project the health effects of future atmospheric emissions. Our results show that the accumulated health effects associated with mercury exposure during 2010-2050 are $19 (95% confidence interval: 4.7-54) trillion (2020 USD) realized to 2050 (3% discount rate) for the current policy scenario. Our results suggest a substantial increase in global human health cost if emission reduction actions are delayed. This comprehensive modeling approach provides a much-needed tool to help parties to evaluate the effectiveness of Hg emission controls as required by the Minamata Convention.

Indexed as

Global HealthAtmosphereClimateEatingEcosystemEnvironmentEnvironmental MonitoringEnvironmental PolicyHealth Impact AssessmentHumansInternational CooperationMercuryNeurotoxinsMercuryNeurotoxins

Identifiers

PMID34031414
PMCPMC8144432

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.