Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34031160›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2022

Atrial fibrillation and risk of incident heart failure with reduced versus preserved ejection fraction.

Charles D Nicoli, Wesley T O'Neal, Emily B Levitan, Matthew J Singleton, Suzanne E Judd, George Howard, Monika M Safford, Elsayed Z Soliman

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Multimorbidity in Atrial Fibrillation: Impact on Outcomes.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2026
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  13. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Charles D NicoliMedicine, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, Maryland, USA cdnicoli.md@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-8377-1024
Wesley T O'NealNoninvasive Cardiology, Cone Health Heart and Vascular Center, Greensboro, North Carolina, USA.
Emily B LevitanEpidemiology, The University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Matthew J SingletonMedicine, Section on Cardiology, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7266-0951
Suzanne E JuddBiostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
George HowardBiostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Monika M SaffordGeneral Internal Medicine, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York, USA.
Elsayed Z SolimanEpidemiological Cardiology Research Center (EPICARE), Department of Epidemiology, Division of Public Health, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
University of Alabama at Birmingham · USWake Forest University · USCone Health · USCornell University · USWalter Reed National Military Medical Center · US

Funding

VCID and Stroke in a Bi-racial National CohortU01NS041588 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI CUSHMAN, MARY, HOWARD, GEORGE · 2002 to 2022
$96.0M
REGARDS - MI StudyR01HL080477 · NHLBI · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI LEVITAN, EMILY B, SAFFORD, MONIKA M · 2006 to 2020
$11.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080477NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS041588
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAssociations between atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) have been established. We compared the extent to which AF is associated with each primary subtype of HF, with reduced (HFrEF) versus preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

methodsWe included 25 787 participants free of baseline HF from the REGARDS (REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke) cohort. Baseline AF was ascertained from ECG and self-reported history of physician diagnosis. Incident HF events were determined from physician-adjudicated review of hospitalisation medical records and HF deaths. Based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at the time of HF event, HFrEF, HFpEF, and mid-range HF were defined as LVEF <40%, ≥50% and 40%-49%, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models examined the association between AF and HF. The Lunn-McNeil method was used to compare associations of AF with incident HFrEF versus HFpEF.

resultsOver a median of 9 years of follow-up, 1109 HF events occurred (356 HFpEF, 388 HFrEF, 77 mid-range and 288 unclassified). In a model adjusted for sociodemographics, cardiovascular risk factors, and incident coronary heart disease, AF was associated with increased risk of all HF events (HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.38 to 2.01). The associations of AF with HFrEF versus HFpEF events did not differ significantly (HR 1.87 (95% CI 1.38 to 2.54) and HR 1.65 (95% CI 1.20 to 2.28), respectively; p value for difference=0.581). These associations were consistent in sex and race subgroups.

conclusionsAF is associated with both HFrEF and HFpEF events, with no significant difference in the strength of association among these subtypes.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHeart FailureHumansPrognosisStroke VolumeVentricular Function, Leftatrial fibrillationheart failure with preserved ejection fractionheart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Identifiers

PMID34031160
PMCPMC8611112
OpenAlexW3164269402

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.