Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34021016›Full record

ArticleCMAJ open

Long-term macrolide therapy for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a population-based time series analysis.

Marie Yan, Farah E Saxena, Andrew Calzavara, Kevin A Brown, Gary Garber, Andrea S Gershon, Jennie Johnstone, Matthew Kumar, Bradley J Langford, Samantha Lee and 2 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CMAJ open. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact, top 91% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Marie YanDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Farah E SaxenaDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Andrew CalzavaraDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Kevin A BrownDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Gary GarberDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Andrea S GershonDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Jennie JohnstoneDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Matthew KumarDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Bradley J LangfordDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Samantha LeeDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Kevin L SchwartzDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont.
Nick DanemanDepartment of Medicine (Yan, Garber, Gershon), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Medicine (Yan), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC; ICES (Saxena, Calzavara, Brown, Gershon, Kumar, Lee, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Brown, Johnstone), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Public Health Ontario (Brown, Garber, Johnstone, Langford, Schwartz, Daneman), Toronto, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Garber), Ottawa, Ont.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Gershon, Daneman); Sinai Health System (Johnstone); Unity Health Toronto (Schwartz), Toronto, Ont. nick.daneman@sunnybrook.ca.
Health Sciences Centre · CASinai Health System · USSunnybrook Health Science Centre · CAUniversity of British Columbia · CA

Funding

CIHR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMacrolides are recommended as an adjunctive treatment for patients with moderate to severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who experience recurrent exacerbations. The objective of this study was to examine temporal trends in the provision of long-term macrolide therapy, specifically before and after publication of the landmark MACRO trial in August 2011 showing efficacy of macrolides for this indication.

methodsWe performed an interrupted time series analysis using population-level health administrative data. The study cohort consisted of all Ontario residents who had COPD, were using at least 1 long-acting inhaler, and were aged 65 years and older between Apr. 1, 2004, and Mar. 31, 2018. We compared the baseline characteristics of eligible patients before and after publication of the MACRO trial. Our primary outcome was overall prevalence of long-term macrolide therapy; secondary outcomes were incidence of COPD-related hospitalizations, emergency department visits and outpatient exacerbations requiring high-dose steroids in each quarter. We performed an interrupted time series analysis to assess for changes in the incidence of macrolide prophylaxis by quarter-year over the study period.

resultsThe rate of long-term macrolide use increased from 0.8 per 1000 people in 2004 to 13.8 per 1000 people in 2018 (in the severe COPD group, the rate increased from 1.3 to 32.3 per 1000 people). The interrupted time series analysis showed that, before 2011, the prevalence of macrolide prophylaxis increased at a rate of 0.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39-0.50) per 1000 people per year; after 2011, the rate of increase grew by 1.18 (95% CI 1.07-1.29) per 1000 people to 1.63 (95% CI 1.56-1.69) per 1000 people per year. The seasonal pattern of COPD-related health care visits remained stable over the study period, and there was no detectable reduction in hospitalizations or emergency department visits at the population level.

interpretationIn the past decade, there has been a significant rise in the use of long-term macrolide therapy for patients with COPD. As this practice becomes increasingly common, it will be important to monitor its potential benefits on COPD exacerbations but also its potential effects on adverse events and antimicrobial resistance patterns.

Indexed as

Antibiotic ProphylaxisDuration of TherapyPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveTimeAgedAnti-Bacterial AgentsDisease ProgressionFemaleHospitalizationHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisMacrolidesMaleOntarioOutcome Assessment, Health CareRespiratory System AgentsAnti-Bacterial AgentsMacrolidesRespiratory System Agents

Identifiers

PMID34021016
PMCPMC8177912
OpenAlexW3163794057

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.