Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34020944›Full record

ArticleScience advances2021

Nonreplicable publications are cited more than replicable ones.

Marta Serra-Garcia, Uri Gneezy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Can I trust this paper?Psychonomic bulletin & review · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Reproducibility and interpretability in radiomics: a critical assessmentDiagnostic and interventional radiology (Ankara, Turkey) · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Elements of successful NIH grant applications.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Inaccuracy in the Scientific Record and Open Postpublication Critique.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2023
    Article
  20. Failing to replicate predicts citation declines in psychology.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Marta Serra-GarciaRady School of Management, University of California, San Diego La Jolla, CA, USA. mserragarcia@ucsd.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5875-4986
Uri GneezyRady School of Management, University of California, San Diego La Jolla, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6663-5306

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We use publicly available data to show that published papers in top psychology, economics, and general interest journals that fail to replicate are cited more than those that replicate. This difference in citation does not change after the publication of the failure to replicate. Only 12% of postreplication citations of nonreplicable findings acknowledge the replication failure. Existing evidence also shows that experts predict well which papers will be replicated. Given this prediction, why are nonreplicable papers accepted for publication in the first place? A possible answer is that the review team faces a trade-off. When the results are more "interesting," they apply lower standards regarding their reproducibility.

Identifiers

PMID34020944
PMCPMC8139580

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.