Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34019601›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Statistical methods versus machine learning techniques for donor-recipient matching in liver transplantation.

David Guijo-Rubio, Javier Briceño, Pedro Antonio Gutiérrez, Maria Dolores Ayllón, Rubén Ciria, César Hervás-Martínez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  7. A data-driven framework for fair and efficient organ transplantation using gradient boosting and adaptive genetic allocation.Journal of artificial organs : the official journal of the Japanese Society for Artificial Organs · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
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  12. Machine learning in liver surgery: Benefits and pitfalls.World journal of clinical cases · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

David Guijo-RubioDepartment of Computer Sciences and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8035-4057
Javier BriceñoUnit of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, IMIBIC, Córdoba, Spain.
Pedro Antonio GutiérrezDepartment of Computer Sciences and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain.
Maria Dolores AyllónUnit of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, IMIBIC, Córdoba, Spain.
Rubén CiriaUnit of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, IMIBIC, Córdoba, Spain.
César Hervás-MartínezDepartment of Computer Sciences and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Donor-Recipient (D-R) matching is one of the main challenges to be fulfilled nowadays. Due to the increasing number of recipients and the small amount of donors in liver transplantation, the allocation method is crucial. In this paper, to establish a fair comparison, the United Network for Organ Sharing database was used with 4 different end-points (3 months, and 1, 2 and 5 years), with a total of 39, 189 D-R pairs and 28 donor and recipient variables. Modelling techniques were divided into two groups: 1) classical statistical methods, including Logistic Regression (LR) and Naïve Bayes (NB), and 2) standard machine learning techniques, including Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB) or Support Vector Machines (SVM), among others. The methods were compared with standard scores, MELD, SOFT and BAR. For the 5-years end-point, LR (AUC = 0.654) outperformed several machine learning techniques, such as MLP (AUC = 0.599), GB (AUC = 0.600), SVM (AUC = 0.624) or RF (AUC = 0.644), among others. Moreover, LR also outperformed standard scores. The same pattern was reproduced for the others 3 end-points. Complex machine learning methods were not able to improve the performance of liver allocation, probably due to the implicit limitations associated to the collection process of the database.

Indexed as

Support Vector MachineBayes TheoremDatabases, FactualData Interpretation, StatisticalHistocompatibility TestingHumansLiver TransplantationLogistic ModelsTissue and Organ ProcurementTissue DonorsTransplant Recipients

Identifiers

PMID34019601
PMCPMC8139468

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.