Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34019229›Full record

ArticleDermatology and therapy2021

Deterioration of Health-Related Quality of Life After Withdrawal of Risankizumab Treatment in Patients with Moderate-to-Severe Plaque Psoriasis: A Machine Learning Predictive Model.

Kim A Papp, Ahmed M Soliman, Nicolae Done, Christopher Carley, Esteban Lemus Wirtz, Luis Puig

4 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Dermatology and therapy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 4 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02672852 phase3completednot on this map

BI 655066 / ABBV-066 (Risankizumab) Versus Placebo In a Multicenter Randomized Double-blind Study in Patients With Moderate to Severe Chronic Plaque Psoriasis Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety With Randomized Withdrawal and Re-treatment (IMMhance)

TypeinterventionalSponsorAbbVieRan2016 to 2018Enrolled507ConditionsPsoriasisArmsRisankizumab, Placebo
NCT02684357 phase3completednot on this map

BI 655066 Versus Ustekinumab and Placebo Comparators in a Randomized Double Blind trIal for Maintenance Use in Moderate to Severe Plaque Type Psoriasis-2 (UltIMMa-2)

TypeinterventionalSponsorAbbVieRan2016 to 2017Enrolled577ConditionsPsoriasisArmsrisankizumab, ustekinumab, placebo for risankizumab, placebo for ustekinumab
NCT02684370 phase3completednot on this map

BI 655066/ABBV-066 (Risankizumab) Versus Ustekinumab and Placebo Comparators in a Randomized Double Blind trIal for Maintenance Use in Moderate to Severe Plaque Type Psoriasis (UltIMMa-1)

TypeinterventionalSponsorAbbVieRan2016 to 2017Enrolled560ConditionsPsoriasisArmsrisankizumab, placebo for risankizumab, ustekinumab, placebo for ustekinumab
NCT02694523 phase3completednot on this map

BI 655066/ABBV-066 (Risankizumab) Versus Adalimumab in a Randomized, Double Blind, Parallel Group Trial in Moderate to Severe Plaque Psoriasis to Assess Safety and Efficacy After 16 Weeks of Treatment and After Inadequate Adalimumab Treatment Response (IMMvent)

TypeinterventionalSponsorAbbVieRan2016 to 2017Enrolled684ConditionsPsoriasisArmsrisankizumab, adalimumab, placebo for risankizumab, placebo for adalimumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Kim A PappK Papp Clinical Research and Probity Medical Research, Waterloo, ON, Canada. kapapp@probitymedical.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9557-3642
Ahmed M SolimanAbbVie, Inc., North Chicago, IL, USA.
Nicolae DoneAnalysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA.
Christopher CarleyAnalysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA.
Esteban Lemus WirtzAnalysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA.
Luis PuigDepartment of Dermatology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionRisankizumab has demonstrated efficacy in treating moderate-to-severe psoriasis. The phase-3 IMMhance trial (NCT02672852) examined the effect of continuing versus withdrawing from risankizumab treatment on psoriasis severity, including the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) and static Physician Global Assessment (sPGA). However, the effect of withdrawal on health-related quality of life (HRQL) was not assessed. Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the impact of risankizumab withdrawal on HRQL measured by the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI). Because DLQI was not measured beyond week 16 in IMMhance, a machine learning predictive model for DLQI was developed.

methodsA machine learning model for DLQI was fitted using repeated measures data from three phase-3 trials (NCT02684370, NCT02684357, NCT02694523) (pooled N = 1602). An elastic-net algorithm performed automated variable selection among candidate predictors including concurrent PASI and sPGA, demographics, and interaction terms. The machine learning model was used to predict DLQI at weeks 28-104 of IMMhance among patients re-randomized to continue (N = 111) or withdraw from (N = 225) risankizumab after achieving response (sPGA = 0/1) at week 28.

resultsThe machine learning predictive model demonstrated good statistical fit during tenfold cross-validation and external validation against observed DLQI at weeks 0-16 of IMMhance (N = 507). Predicted improvements in DLQI from baseline were lower in the withdrawal versus the continuation cohort (mean DLQI change at week 104, -5.9 versus -11.5, difference [95% CI] = 5.6 [4.1, 7.3]). Predicted DLQI deteriorated more extensively than PASI (49.7% versus 36.4%) after treatment withdrawal.

conclusionsThe predicted DLQI score deteriorated more rapidly after risankizumab withdrawal than the PASI score, an objective measure of disease. These findings suggest that the deterioration in HRQL reflects more substantial impacts after risankizumab discontinuation than those measured by PASI only.

Indexed as

DLQIMachine learningPASIPsoriasisQuality of lifeRisankizumab

Identifiers

PMID34019229
PMCPMC8322223

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.