Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34018218›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2021

Backward joint model and dynamic prediction of survival with multivariate longitudinal data.

Fan Shen, Liang Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Fan ShenDepartment of Biostatistics and Data Science, The University of Texas School of Public Health, Dallas, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3549-5763
Liang LiDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5453-3839

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Estimating the Cost Trajectories and Projecting the Cost of Cancer Care in the United States: Methodology and ApplicationR01CA225646 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LI, LIANG, SHIH, YA-CHEN TINA · 2018 to 2022
$1.8M
Dynamic Prediction of Renal Failure Using Longitudinal Prognostic Information among Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease and Kidney TransplantR01DK118079 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI ASTOR, BRAD C, GREENE, TOM · 2019 to 2022
$1.3M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS R01 CA225646NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK118079
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An important approach to dynamic prediction of time-to-event outcomes using longitudinal data is based on modeling the joint distribution of longitudinal and time-to-event data. The widely used joint model for this purpose is the shared random effect model. Presumably, adding more longitudinal predictors improves the predictive accuracy. However, the shared random effect model can be computationally difficult or prohibitive when a large number of longitudinal variables are used. In this paper, we study an alternative way of modeling the joint distribution of longitudinal and time-to-event data. Under this formulation, the log-likelihood involves no more than one-dimensional integration, regardless of the number of longitudinal variables in the model. Therefore, this model is particularly suitable in dynamic prediction problems with large number of longitudinal predictors. The model fitting can be implemented with tractable and stable computation by using a combination of pseudo maximum likelihood estimation, Expectation-Maximization algorithm, and convex optimization. We evaluate the proposed methodology and its predictive accuracy with varying number of longitudinal variables using simulations and data from a primary biliary cirrhosis study.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsHumansLongitudinal StudiesProbabilitydynamic predictionEM algorithmjoint modelingmultivariate longitudinal datapredictive accuracysurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID34018218
PMCPMC8364884

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.