Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34016747›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Nonparametric coalescent inference of mutation spectrum history and demography.

William S DeWitt, Kameron Decker Harris, Aaron P Ragsdale, Kelley Harris

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The dynamics of introgression and parallel adaptation across North AmericanProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  4. A general framework for branch length estimation in Ancestral Recombination Graphs.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

William S DeWittDepartment of Genome Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195; wsdewitt@uw.edu harriske@uw.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-6802-9139
Kameron Decker HarrisPaul G. Allen School of Computer Science & Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195.ORCID 0000-0002-3716-6173
Aaron P RagsdaleNational Laboratory of Genomics for Biodiversity, Unit of Advanced Genomics, Centro de Investigación y de Estudios Avanzados del Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Irapuato, Mexico 36821.ORCID 0000-0003-0715-3432
Kelley HarrisDepartment of Genome Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195; wsdewitt@uw.edu harriske@uw.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-0302-2523

Funding

New York Center for Collaborative Research In Common Disease Genomics: Genome Aggregation and Joint Variant Calling for CCDG Freeze2UM1HG008901 · NHGRI · NEW YORK GENOME CENTER · PI MANIATIS, THOMAS P, WIGLER, MICHAEL H · 2016 to 2020
$56.6M
INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN GENOMIC SCIENCEST32HG000035 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Bruce Colston Trapnell · 1995 to 2026
$24.2M
Investigating the landscape and genetic architecture of germline mutagenesisR35GM133428 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Kelley Harris · 2019 to 2026
$2.8M
Evolutionary dynamics of antibody affinity maturationF31AI150163 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI DEWITT, WILLIAM S. · 2020 to 2022
$113k
NHGRI NIH HHS T32 HG000035NHGRI NIH HHS UM1 HG008901NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI150163NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM133428
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As populations boom and bust, the accumulation of genetic diversity is modulated, encoding histories of living populations in present-day variation. Many methods exist to decode these histories, and all must make strong model assumptions. It is typical to assume that mutations accumulate uniformly across the genome at a constant rate that does not vary between closely related populations. However, recent work shows that mutational processes in human and great ape populations vary across genomic regions and evolve over time. This perturbs the mutation spectrum (relative mutation rates in different local nucleotide contexts). Here, we develop theoretical tools in the framework of Kingman's coalescent to accommodate mutation spectrum dynamics. We present mutation spectrum history inference (mushi), a method to perform nonparametric inference of demographic and mutation spectrum histories from allele frequency data. We use mushi to reconstruct trajectories of effective population size and mutation spectrum divergence between human populations, identify mutation signatures and their dynamics in different human populations, and calibrate the timing of a previously reported mutational pulse in the ancestors of Europeans. We show that mutation spectrum histories can be placed in a well-studied theoretical setting and rigorously inferred from genomic variation data, like other features of evolutionary history.

Indexed as

Models, GeneticAnimalsGene FrequencyGenetics, PopulationGenetic VariationGenomicsHominidaeHumansMutationMutation RatePopulation Densitycoalescent theorydemographic inferenceinverse problemsmutation spectrumsample frequency spectrum

Identifiers

PMID34016747
PMCPMC8166128

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.