Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34016076›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2021

Real time surveillance of COVID-19 space and time clusters during the summer 2020 in Spain.

Nicolás Rosillo, Javier Del-Águila-Mejía, Ayelén Rojas-Benedicto, María Guerrero-Vadillo, Marina Peñuelas, Clara Mazagatos, Jordi Segú-Tell, Rebeca Ramis, Diana Gómez-Barroso

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Methods Used in the Spatial and Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiology: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
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  5. Epidemic Diffusion Network of Spain: A Mobility Model to Characterize the Transmission Routes of Disease.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Nicolás Rosillo *Servicio de Medicina Preventiva. Centro de Actividades Ambulatorias, 6ª planta, Bloque C, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre. Avenida de Córdoba, s/n, 28041, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4046-8092
Javier Del-Águila-Mejía *Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-5697-5980
Ayelén Rojas-BenedictoCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-3197-0731
María Guerrero-VadilloCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-0575-789X
Marina PeñuelasCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-5909-7957
Clara MazagatosCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6909-6923
Jordi Segú-TellCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-6023-1925
Rebeca RamisCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain. rramis@isciii.es.ORCID 0000-0001-6154-9142
Diana Gómez-BarrosoCentro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos IIII, Calle de Melchor Fernández Almagro 5, 28029, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-7388-1767

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOn June 21st de-escalation measures and state-of-alarm ended in Spain after the COVID-19 first wave. New surveillance and control strategy was set up to detect emerging outbreaks.

aimTo detect and describe the evolution of COVID-19 clusters and cases during the 2020 summer in Spain.

methodsA near-real time surveillance system to detect active clusters of COVID-19 was developed based on Kulldorf's prospective space-time scan statistic (STSS) to detect daily emerging active clusters.

resultsAnalyses were performed daily during the summer 2020 (June 21st - August 31st) in Spain, showing an increase of active clusters and municipalities affected. Spread happened in the study period from a few, low-cases, regional-located clusters in June to a nationwide distribution of bigger clusters encompassing a higher average number of municipalities and total cases by end-August.

conclusionSTSS-based surveillance of COVID-19 can be of utility in a low-incidence scenario to help tackle emerging outbreaks that could potentially drive a widespread transmission. If that happens, spatial trends and disease distribution can be followed with this method. Finally, cluster aggregation in space and time, as observed in our results, could suggest the occurrence of community transmission.

Indexed as

COVID-19Disease OutbreaksHumansProspective StudiesSARS-CoV-2SpainClustersCOVID-19SpainSpatial analysisSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID34016076
PMCPMC8137313

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.