Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34010422›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2021

The Mortality and Overall Survival Trends of Primary Liver Cancer in the United States.

Yi-Te Lee, Jasmine J Wang, Michael Luu, Mazen Noureddin, Kambiz Kosari, Vatche G Agopian, Nicole E Rich, Shelly C Lu, Hsian-Rong Tseng, Nicholas N Nissen and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 66 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
66citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

66 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment Receipt in the United States: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
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  6. Hepatocellular Carcinoma Survival in People With and Without HIV in the United States, 2001-2019.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
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6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Yi-Te LeeCalifornia NanoSystems Institute, Crump Institute for Molecular Imaging, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8177-0407
Jasmine J WangDepartment of Molecular and Medical Pharmacology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5089-1345
Michael LuuBiostatistics and Bioinformatics Research Center, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7968-7313
Mazen NoureddinKarsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Kambiz KosariComprehensive Transplant Center, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2631-4054
Vatche G AgopianDepartment of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Nicole E RichDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2740-8818
Shelly C LuSamuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Hsian-Rong TsengCalifornia NanoSystems Institute, Crump Institute for Molecular Imaging, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0942-5905
Nicholas N NissenSamuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Amit G SingalDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Ju Dong YangSamuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

Multilevel factors for racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in prognosis of hepatocellular carcinomaR01MD012565 · NIMHD · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT, YOPP, ADAM · 2018 to 2022
$4.3M
Precision Risk Stratification and Screening for HCC among Patients with Cirrhosis in the United StatesU01CA230694 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230694NIMHD NIH HHS R01 MD012565
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecent trends of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality and outcome remain unknown in the United States. We investigated the recent trends of primary liver cancer (excluding intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma) mortality and HCC stage, treatment, and overall survival (OS) in the United States.

methodsThe National Center for Health Statistics Database was analyzed to investigate the trend of primary liver cancer mortality. We analyzed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 18 Database to assess the temporal trend of tumor size, stage, treatment, and OS of HCC. We investigated the association between HCC diagnosis year and OS using Cox regression analysis. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

resultsDuring 2000-2018, liver cancer mortality rates increased until 2013, plateaued during 2013-2016 (annual percent change = 0.1%/y, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -2.1%/y to 2.4%/y, P = .92), and started to decline during 2016-2018 (annual percent change = -1.5%/y, 95% CI = -3.2%/y to 0.2%/y, P = .08). However, mortality continues to increase in American Indian and Alaska Native, individuals aged 65 years or older, and in 33 states. There was a 0.61% (95% CI = 0.53% to 0.69%, P < .001) increase in localized stage HCC and a 0.86-mm (95% CI = -1.10 to -0.62 mm, P < .001) decrease in median tumor size per year. The 1-year OS rate increased from 36.3% (95% CI = 34.3% to 38.3%) to 58.1% (95% CI = 56.9% to 59.4%) during 2000-2015, and the 5-year OS rate almost doubled from 11.7% (95% CI = 10.4% to 13.1%) to 21.3% (95% CI = 20.2% to 22.4%) during 2000-2011. Diagnosis year (per year) (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.96 to 0.97) was independently associated with OS in multivariable analysis.

conclusionsPrimary liver cancer mortality rates have started to decline in the United States with demographic and state-level variation. With an increasing detection of localized HCC, the OS of HCC has improved over the past decades.

Indexed as

Bile Duct NeoplasmsCarcinoma, HepatocellularCholangiocarcinomaLiver NeoplasmsAgedBile Ducts, IntrahepaticHumansUnited States

Identifiers

PMID34010422
PMCPMC8562972

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.