Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34010293›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Influenza forecasting for French regions combining EHR, web and climatic data sources with a machine learning ensemble approach.

Canelle Poirier, Yulin Hswen, Guillaume Bouzillé, Marc Cuggia, Audrey Lavenu, John S Brownstein, Thomas Brewer, Mauricio Santillana

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Canelle PoirierINSERM, U1099, Rennes, France.ORCID 0000-0002-6972-2621
Yulin HswenDepartment of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-3203-1322
Guillaume BouzilléINSERM, U1099, Rennes, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3637-6558
Marc CuggiaINSERM, U1099, Rennes, France.ORCID 0000-0001-6943-3937
Audrey LavenuUniversité de Rennes 1, Faculté de médecine, Rennes, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0049-2397
John S BrownsteinInnovation Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States of America.
Thomas BrewerInnovation Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7279-8096
Mauricio SantillanaDepartment of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States of America.

Funding

Development of an Open-Source and Data-Driven Modeling Platform to Monitor and Forecast Disease ActivityR01GM130668 · NIGMS · NORTHEASTERN UNIVERSITY · PI SANTILLANA, MAURICIO · 2018 to 2022
$1.9M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM130668
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Effective and timely disease surveillance systems have the potential to help public health officials design interventions to mitigate the effects of disease outbreaks. Currently, healthcare-based disease monitoring systems in France offer influenza activity information that lags real-time by one to three weeks. This temporal data gap introduces uncertainty that prevents public health officials from having a timely perspective on the population-level disease activity. Here, we present a machine-learning modeling approach that produces real-time estimates and short-term forecasts of influenza activity for the twelve continental regions of France by leveraging multiple disparate data sources that include, Google search activity, real-time and local weather information, flu-related Twitter micro-blogs, electronic health records data, and historical disease activity synchronicities across regions. Our results show that all data sources contribute to improving influenza surveillance and that machine-learning ensembles that combine all data sources lead to accurate and timely predictions.

Indexed as

Machine LearningComputer SystemsDisease OutbreaksElectronic Health RecordsEpidemiological MonitoringForecastingFranceHumansInfluenza, HumanInformation Storage and RetrievalInternetModels, StatisticalPublic Health SurveillanceSocial MediaWeather

Identifiers

PMID34010293
PMCPMC8133501

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.