ArticleRoyal Society open science2021
Large-scale interventions may delay decline of the Great Barrier Reef.
Article in Royal Society open science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Protection of coral reef fish delivers ecosystem-critical biocontrol of coral-eating starfish across the Great Barrier Reef.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Coral cover and species responses to heat exposure vary across contemporary Western Atlantic reefs.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Article
- Passive retention of simulated larvae on coral reefs.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Climate refugia in the Great Barrier Reef may endure into the future.Science advances · 2024Article
- Capturing fine-scale coral dynamics with a metacommunity modelling framework.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Speeding up the recovery of coastal habitats through management interventions that address constraints on dispersal and recruitment.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Physical science research needed to evaluate the viability and risks of marine cloud brightening.Science advances · 2024Review
- Evaluating the effects of climate change and chemical, physical, and biological stressors on nearshore coral reefs: A case study in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia.Integrated environmental assessment and management · 2024Article
- Protecting Great Barrier Reef resilience through effective management of crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks.PloS one · 2024Article
- Translating the 10 golden rules of reforestation for coral reef restoration.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2022Article
- Culling corallivores improves short-term coral recovery under bleaching scenarios.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Crown of thorns starfish life-history traits contribute to outbreaks, a continuing concern for coral reefs.Emerging topics in life sciences · 2022Article
- Fish predators control outbreaks of Crown-of-Thorns Starfish.Nature communications · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
On the iconic Great Barrier Reef (GBR), the cumulative impacts of tropical cyclones, marine heatwaves and regular outbreaks of coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish (CoTS) have severely depleted coral cover. Climate change will further exacerbate this situation over the coming decades unless effective interventions are implemented. Evaluating the efficacy of alternative interventions in a complex system experiencing major cumulative impacts can only be achieved through a systems modelling approach. We have evaluated combinations of interventions using a coral reef meta-community model. The model consisted of a dynamic network of 3753 reefs supporting communities of corals and CoTS connected through ocean larval dispersal, and exposed to changing regimes of tropical cyclones, flood plumes, marine heatwaves and ocean acidification. Interventions included reducing flood plume impacts, expanding control of CoTS populations, stabilizing coral rubble, managing solar radiation and introducing heat-tolerant coral strains. Without intervention, all climate scenarios resulted in precipitous declines in GBR coral cover over the next 50 years. The most effective strategies in delaying decline were combinations that protected coral from both predation (CoTS control) and thermal stress (solar radiation management) deployed at large scale. Successful implementation could expand opportunities for climate action, natural adaptation and socioeconomic adjustment by at least one to two decades.
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Registered trials
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