Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34006862›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

The effect of generic market entry on antibiotic prescriptions in the United States.

Cecilia Kållberg, Jemma Hudson, Hege Salvesen Blix, Christine Årdal, Eili Klein, Morten Lindbæk, Kevin Outterson, John-Arne Røttingen, Ramanan Laxminarayan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Macro- and micro-influencers of antimicrobial costs…What do stewardship programs need to know?Antimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Cecilia KållbergFaculty of Medicine, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway. ceciliakallberg@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-1078-3128
Jemma HudsonHealth Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Hege Salvesen BlixNorwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Christine ÅrdalNorwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-0891-0549
Eili KleinCenter for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, Washington, DC, USA.
Morten LindbækFaculty of Medicine, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Kevin OuttersonSchool of Law, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2513-3216
John-Arne RøttingenFaculty of Medicine, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Ramanan LaxminarayanCenter for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1390-9016
Norwegian Institute of Public Health · NOCenter for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy · USBoston University · USThe Research Council of Norway · NOUniversity of Aberdeen · GBUniversity of Oslo · NO

Funding

Chief Scientist Office HSRU1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When patented, brand-name antibiotics lose market exclusivity, generics typically enter the market at lower prices, which may increase consumption of the drug. To examine the effect of generic market entry on antibiotic consumption in the United States, we conducted an interrupted time series analysis of the change in the number of prescriptions per month for antibiotics for which at least one generic entered the US market between 2000 and 2012. Data were acquired from the IQVIA Xponent database. Thirteen antibiotics were analyzed. Here, we show that one year after generic entry, the number of prescriptions increased for five antibiotics (5 to 406%)-aztreonam, cefpodoxime, ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, ofloxacin-and decreased for one drug: cefdinir. These changes were sustained two years after. Cefprozil, cefuroxime axetil and clarithromycin had significant increases in trend, but no significant level changes. No consistent pattern for antibiotic use following generic entry in the United States was observed.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsAztreonamCefdinirCefprozilCephalosporinsCosts and Cost AnalysisDatabases, PharmaceuticalDrug CostsDrug IndustryDrug PrescriptionsDrugs, GenericHumansUnited StatesAnti-Bacterial AgentsAztreonamCefdinirCefprozilCephalosporinsDrugs, Generic

Identifiers

PMID34006862
PMCPMC8131704
OpenAlexW3163051316

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.