Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34006840›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

A well-timed shift from local to global agreements accelerates climate change mitigation.

Vadim A Karatayev, Vítor V Vasconcelos, Anne-Sophie Lafuite, Simon A Levin, Chris T Bauch, Madhur Anand

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Modelling coupled human-environment complexity for the future of the biosphere: strengths, gaps and promising directions.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Vadim A KaratayevSchool of Environmental Sciences, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada. vkaratay@uoguelph.ca.
Vítor V VasconcelosInformatics Institute and Institute for Advanced Study, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4621-5272
Anne-Sophie LafuiteSchool of Environmental Sciences, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.
Simon A LevinDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8216-5639
Chris T BauchDepartment of Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6214-6601
Madhur AnandSchool of Environmental Sciences, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent attempts at cooperating on climate change mitigation highlight the limited efficacy of large-scale negotiations, when commitment to mitigation is costly and initially rare. Deepening existing voluntary mitigation pledges could require more stringent, legally-binding agreements that currently remain untenable at the global scale. Building-blocks approaches promise greater success by localizing agreements to regions or few-nation summits, but risk slowing mitigation adoption globally. Here, we show that a well-timed policy shift from local to global legally-binding agreements can dramatically accelerate mitigation compared to using only local, only global, or both agreement types simultaneously. This highlights the scale-specific roles of mitigation incentives: local agreements promote and sustain mitigation commitments in early-adopting groups, after which global agreements rapidly draw in late-adopting groups. We conclude that focusing negotiations on local legally-binding agreements and, as these become common, a renewed pursuit of stringent, legally-binding world-wide agreements could best overcome many current challenges facing climate mitigation.

Identifiers

PMID34006840
PMCPMC8131631

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.