Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34006256›Full record

ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2021

Prediction model for prolonged fever in patients with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia: a retrospective study of 716 pediatric patients.

Min Sik Jang, Bit Gyeol Kim, Jihye Kim

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Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
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12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. [A prediction model for refractory pneumonia in children based on early lung ultrasound findings].Zhongguo dang dai er ke za zhi = Chinese journal of contemporary pediatrics · 2026
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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Min Sik JangDepartment of Pediatrics, Hallym University College of Medicine, Kangdong Sacred Heart Hospital, 150, Seongan-ro, Gangdong-gu, Seoul, 05355, Republic of Korea.
Bit Gyeol KimDepartment of Pediatrics, Hallym University College of Medicine, Kangdong Sacred Heart Hospital, 150, Seongan-ro, Gangdong-gu, Seoul, 05355, Republic of Korea.
Jihye KimDepartment of Pediatrics, Hallym University College of Medicine, Kangdong Sacred Heart Hospital, 150, Seongan-ro, Gangdong-gu, Seoul, 05355, Republic of Korea. jihyewiz17@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo identify patients with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) with a risk of prolonged fever while on macrolides.

methodsA retrospective study was performed with 716 children admitted for MPP. Refractory MPP (RMPP-3) was defined as fever persisting for > 72 h without improvement in clinical and radiologic findings after macrolide antibiotics (RMPP-3) or when fever persisted for > 120 h (RMPP-5) without improvement in clinical and radiologic findings. Radiological data, laboratory data, and fever profiles were compared between the RMPP and non-RMPP groups. Fever profiles included the highest temperature, lowest temperature, and frequency of fever. Prediction models for RMPP were created using the logistic regression method and deep neural network. Their predictive values were compared using receiver operating characteristic curves.

resultsOverall, 716 patients were randomly divided into two groups: training and test cohorts for both RMPP-3 and RMPP-5. For the prediction of RMPP-3, a conventional logistic model with radiologic grouping showed increased sensitivity (63.3%) than the model using laboratory values. Adding laboratory values in the prediction model using radiologic grouping did not contribute to a meaningful increase in sensitivity (64.6%). For the prediction of RMPP-5, laboratory values or radiologic grouping showed lower sensitivities ranging from 12.9 to 16.1%. However, prediction models using predefined fever profiles showed significantly increased sensitivity for predicting RMPP-5, and neural network models using 12 sequential fever data showed a greatly increased sensitivity (64.5%).

conclusionRMPP-5 could not be effectively predicted using initial laboratory and radiologic data, which were previously reported to be predictive. Further studies using advanced mathematical models, based on large-sized easily accessible clinical data, are anticipated for predicting RMPP.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalChildChild, PreschoolC-Reactive ProteinFemaleFeverHumansL-Lactate DehydrogenaseLogistic ModelsMaleMycoplasma pneumoniaePneumonia, MycoplasmaRetrospective StudiesROC CurveC-Reactive ProteinL-Lactate DehydrogenaseMycoplasma pneumoniae pneumoniaPrediction modelRefractory

Identifiers

PMID34006256
PMCPMC8130327

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.