ArticleeLife2021
Modeling the impact of racial and ethnic disparities on COVID-19 epidemic dynamics.
Article in eLife, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed.
- Health, economic, and equity impact of a COVID-19 mobile vaccine clinic program in US: a cost-effectiveness analysis.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2026Article
- Differential impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on sociodemographic groups: A mathematical model framework.PloS one · 2026Article
- Individual and neighborhood based socioeconomic factors relevant for contact behaviour and epidemic control.Communications medicine · 2025Article
- Ethical considerations in infectious disease modelling for public health policy: the case of school closures.Interface focus · 2025Article
- Why population heterogeneity matters for modelling infectious diseases.Interface focus · 2025Article
- INTEGRATIVE ECOLOGICAL REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF U.S. COUNTY AND STATE LEVEL COVID-19 DEATH DATA FOR STUDYING HEALTH DISPARITY ASSOCIATIONS.The annals of applied statistics · 2025Article
- Model-based estimates of age-structured SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology in households.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Generalized contact matrices allow integrating socioeconomic variables into epidemic models.Science advances · 2024Article
- Contextualising and challenging under-representation in research in light of Cultural Trauma: a qualitative focus group and interview study.Research involvement and engagement · 2024Article
- What's next: using infectious disease mathematical modelling to address health disparities.International journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
- Homophily and social mixing in a small community: Implications for infectious disease transmission.PloS one · 2024Article
- Equitable bivalent booster allocation strategies against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in US cities with large Hispanic communities: The case of El Paso County, Texas.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Quantifying the impact of SARS-CoV-2 temporal vaccination trends and disparities on disease control.Science advances · 2023Article
- Invited Commentary: Some Social Epidemiologic Lessons From the COVID-19 Pandemic.American journal of epidemiology · 2023Article
- Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview.Epidemics · 2023Article
- Disproportionate impacts of COVID-19 in a large US city.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Exposure, Susceptibility, and Recovery: A Framework for Examining the Intersection of the Social and Physical Environments and Infectious Disease Risk.American journal of epidemiology · 2023Article
- Social divisions and risk perception drive divergent epidemics and large later waves.Evolutionary human sciences · 2023Article
- Nationally representative social contact patterns among U.S. adults, August 2020-April 2021.Epidemics · 2022Article
- Forecasting new diseases in low-data settings using transfer learning.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Background: The impact of variable infection risk by race and ethnicity on the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 spread is largely unknown. Methods: Here, we fit structured compartmental models to seroprevalence data from New York State and analyze how herd immunity thresholds (HITs), final sizes, and epidemic risk change across groups. Results: A simple model where interactions occur proportionally to contact rates reduced the HIT, but more realistic models of preferential mixing within groups increased the threshold toward the value observed in homogeneous populations. Across all models, the burden of infection fell disproportionately on minority populations: in a model fit to Long Island serosurvey and census data, 81% of Hispanics or Latinos were infected when the HIT was reached compared to 34% of non-Hispanic whites. Conclusions: Our findings, which are meant to be illustrative and not best estimates, demonstrate how racial and ethnic disparities can impact epidemic trajectories and result in unequal distributions of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Funding: K.C.M. was supported by National Science Foundation GRFP grant DGE1745303. Y.H.G. and M.L. were funded by the Morris-Singer Foundation. M.L. was supported by SeroNet cooperative agreement U01 CA261277.
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