Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34001610›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Global abundance estimates for 9,700 bird species.

Corey T Callaghan, Shinichi Nakagawa, William K Cornwell

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 52 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
52citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

52 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Providing regular and frequent maps of losses and gains of farmland birds based on European monitoring data.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Gut microbiota promote early-life digestive function in songbirds.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  5. A Genomic Catalog of Migratory Microbiomes from Wild Birds across China's Habitats.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
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  19. Structure and function of the avian respiratory system.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
  20. A morphometric and stereological study of the chorioallantoic membrane of the developing ostrich (Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Corey T CallaghanCentre for Ecosystem Science, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; c.callaghan@unsw.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0003-0415-2709
Shinichi NakagawaEcology & Evolution Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7765-5182
William K CornwellCentre for Ecosystem Science, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4080-4073

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Quantifying the abundance of species is essential to ecology, evolution, and conservation. The distribution of species abundances is fundamental to numerous longstanding questions in ecology, yet the empirical pattern at the global scale remains unresolved, with a few species' abundance well known but most poorly characterized. In large part because of heterogeneous data, few methods exist that can scale up to all species across the globe. Here, we integrate data from a suite of well-studied species with a global dataset of bird occurrences throughout the world-for 9,700 species (∼92% of all extant species)-and use missing data theory to estimate species-specific abundances with associated uncertainty. We find strong evidence that the distribution of species abundances is log left skewed: there are many rare species and comparatively few common species. By aggregating the species-level estimates, we find that there are ∼50 billion individual birds in the world at present. The global-scale abundance estimates that we provide will allow for a line of inquiry into the structure of abundance across biogeographic realms and feeding guilds as well as the consequences of life history (e.g., body size, range size) on population dynamics. Importantly, our method is repeatable and scalable: as data quantity and quality increase, our accuracy in tracking temporal changes in global biodiversity will increase. Moreover, we provide the methodological blueprint for quantifying species-specific abundance, along with uncertainty, for any organism in the world.

Indexed as

BiodiversityBiological EvolutionPhylogenyAnimal DistributionAnimalsBirdsBody SizeConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemExtinction, BiologicalPopulation DynamicsUncertaintyabundancedata integrationglobal biodiversityraritySADs

Identifiers

PMID34001610
PMCPMC8166167

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.