Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33999269›Full record

ArticleSurgery today2022

A risk model for prolonged air leak after lobectomy using the National Clinical Database in Japan.

Yasushi Shintani, Hiroyuki Yamamoto, Yukio Sato, Kimihiro Shimizu, Shunsuke Endo, Morihito Okada, Kenji Suzuki, Eriko Fukuchi, Hiroaki Miyata, Masayuki Chida

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Surgery today, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Re-appraisal of bronchus-first right upper lobectomy as an alternative routine procedure.Interdisciplinary cardiovascular and thoracic surgery · 2024
    Article
  6. Effectiveness of fibrin sealant after pulmonary resection: a propensity score matching analysis.Kardiochirurgia i torakochirurgia polska = Polish journal of cardio-thoracic surgery · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yasushi ShintaniJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan. yshintani@thoracic.med.osaka-u.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2540-5288
Hiroyuki YamamotoDepartment of Healthcare Quality Assessment, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Yukio SatoJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan.
Kimihiro ShimizuJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan.
Shunsuke EndoJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan.
Morihito OkadaJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan.
Kenji SuzukiJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan.
Eriko FukuchiDepartment of Healthcare Quality Assessment, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Hiroaki MiyataDepartment of Healthcare Quality Assessment, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Masayuki ChidaJapanese Association for Chest Surgery, Kyoto, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe objective of our study was to develop a clinical prediction model for prolonged air leak (PAL) after lobectomy for lung cancer using preoperative variables in a large patient dataset from the National Clinical Database (NCD) in Japan.

methodsThe preoperative characteristics of 57,532 and 30,967 patients who had undergone standard lobectomy for lung cancer were derived from the 2014 to 2015 and 2016 NCD datasets, respectively. PAL was defined as air leak persisting ≥ 7 days postoperatively or requiring postoperative interventional treatment, such as pleurodesis or reoperation. Risk models were developed from the 2014 to 2015 dataset and validated using the 2016 dataset. When performing model derivation, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method were applied for parameter selection.

resultsThe rate of PAL was 4.5% in 2014-2015 and 5.3% in 2016. The age, sex, body mass index, comorbid interstitial pneumonia, smoking habits, forced expiratory volume in 1 s, tumor histology, multiple lung cancer, and tumor location were selected as important variables for PAL. Our risk model for predicting PAL was fair with a concordance index of 0.6895.

conclusionThe LASSO-based risk model for PAL after lobectomy provided important preoperative variables for PAL and risk weighting for each variable.

Indexed as

AirDatasets as TopicModels, StatisticalAgedAged, 80 and overAnastomotic LeakFemaleHumansJapanLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedPleurodesisPneumonectomyReoperationRisk AssessmentLobectomyLung cancerProlonged air leakRisk model

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.