ArticleResults in physics2021
An improved SIR model describing the epidemic dynamics of the COVID-19 in China.
Article in Results in physics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Modeling COVID-19 spread using multi-agent simulation with small-world network approach.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Analysis of SIRVI model with time dependent coefficients and the effect of vaccination on the transmission rate and COVID-19 epidemic waves.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- An extended epidemic model with vaccination: Weak-immune SIRVI.Physica A · 2022Article
- Epidemic waves caused by SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) and pessimistic forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic duration.MedComm · 2022Article
- Interval nonlinear initial-valued problem using constraint intervals: Theory and an application to the Sars-Cov-2 outbreak.Information sciences · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In this letter, an improved SIR (ISIR) model is proposed, to analyze the spread of COVID-19 during the time window 21/01/2020-08/02/2021. The parameters can be extracted from an inverse problem of the ISIR to assess the risk of COVID-19. This study identifies that the cure rate is 0.05 and the reproduction number is 0.4490 during the time interval. The prediction values demonstrates high similarity to the reported data. The results indicate that the disease had been under control in China.
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Registered trials
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