Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33990466›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Retrieval-constrained valuation: Toward prediction of open-ended decisions.

Zhihao Zhang, Shichun Wang, Maxwell Good, Siyana Hristova, Andrew S Kayser, Ming Hsu

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Distinguishing deception from its confounds by improving the validity of fMRI-based neural prediction.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  5. A Theory of Mental FrameworksFrontiers in psychology · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Neural Support for Contributions of Utility and Narrative Processing of Evidence in Juror Decision Making.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Zhihao ZhangHaas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720; zhihao.zhang@haas.berkeley.edu andrew.kayser@ucsf.edu mhsu@haas.berkeley.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-2643-6841
Shichun WangHaas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.
Maxwell GoodHaas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0001-9573-9278
Siyana HristovaHaas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0003-3587-8457
Andrew S KayserDepartment of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94158; zhihao.zhang@haas.berkeley.edu andrew.kayser@ucsf.edu mhsu@haas.berkeley.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-5102-2136
Ming HsuHaas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720; zhihao.zhang@haas.berkeley.edu andrew.kayser@ucsf.edu mhsu@haas.berkeley.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-7195-3579
Matrix Research (United States) · USUniversity of California, Berkeley · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

Program Development (Pilot)P30AG012839 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI William H Dow · 1999 to 2026
$18.6M
Dopaminergic Mechanisms Underlying Human Social Behavior: A Multimodal ApproachR01MH112775 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI HSU, MING, KAYSER, ANDREW S · 2019 to 2023
$3.5M
Behavioral and Neural Correlates of Social Function in Alcohol Use DisordersR01AA026587 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI KAYSER, ANDREW S · 2018 to 2022
$2.3M
Higher-Order Visual Decision Making: Networks and MechanismsR01EY024554 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI KAYSER, ANDREW S · 2014 to 2018
$1.7M
Research Network on Decision Neuroscience and AgingR24AG054355 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SAMANEZ LARKIN, GREGORY R · 2016 to 2020
$1.4M
NEI NIH HHS R01 EY024554NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA026587NIA NIH HHS P30 AG012839NIA NIH HHS R24 AG054355NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH112775
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Real-world decisions are often open ended, with goals, choice options, or evaluation criteria conceived by decision-makers themselves. Critically, the quality of decisions may heavily rely on the generation of options, as failure to generate promising options limits, or even eliminates, the opportunity for choosing them. This core aspect of problem structuring, however, is largely absent from classical models of decision-making, thereby restricting their predictive scope. Here, we take a step toward addressing this issue by developing a neurally inspired cognitive model of a class of ill-structured decisions in which choice options must be self-generated. Specifically, using a model in which semantic memory retrieval is assumed to constrain the set of options available during valuation, we generate highly accurate out-of-sample predictions of choices across multiple categories of goods. Our model significantly and substantially outperforms models that only account for valuation or retrieval in isolation or those that make alternative mechanistic assumptions regarding their interaction. Furthermore, using neuroimaging, we confirm our core assumption regarding the engagement of, and interaction between, semantic memory retrieval and valuation processes. Together, these results provide a neurally grounded and mechanistic account of decisions with self-generated options, representing a step toward unraveling cognitive mechanisms underlying adaptive decision-making in the real world.

Indexed as

Models, NeurologicalAdultBrainBrain MappingChoice BehaviorCognitionDecision MakingFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleNeuroimagingSemantic Webmemory retrievalopen-ended decisionsoption generationvaluation

Identifiers

PMID33990466
PMCPMC8157967
OpenAlexW3163250299

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.