Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33990147›Full record

Trial reportThe Journal of international medical research2021

Development and external validation of a nomogram predicting overall survival after curative resection of colon cancer.

Shuanhu Wang, Yakui Liu, Yi Shi, Jiajia Guan, Mulin Liu, Wenbin Wang

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Journal of international medical research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  7. Article
  8. Nomogram for Prediction of Postoperative Morbidity in Patients with Colon Cancer Requiring Emergency Therapy.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Shuanhu WangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, Anhui, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-3482
Yakui LiuDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Yi ShiDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Jiajia GuanDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Mulin LiuDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, Anhui, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8655-6207
Wenbin WangDepartment of General Surgery, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China.
First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College · CNAnhui Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop and externally validate a prognostic nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with resectable colon cancer.

methodsData for 50,996 patients diagnosed with non-metastatic colon cancer were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were assigned randomly to the training set (n = 34,168) or validation set (n = 16,828). Independent prognostic factors were identified by multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and used to construct the nomogram. Harrell's C-index and calibration plots were calculated using the SEER validation set. Additional external validation was performed using a Chinese dataset (n = 342).

resultsHarrell's C-index of the nomogram for OS in the SEER validation set was 0.71, which was superior to that using the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging (0.59). Calibration plots showed consistency between actual observations and predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival. Harrell's C-index (0.72) and calibration plot showed excellent predictive accuracy in the external validation set.

conclusionsWe developed a nomogram to predict OS after curative resection for colon cancer. Validation using the SEER and external datasets revealed good discrimination and calibration. This nomogram may help predict individual survival in patients with colon cancer.

Indexed as

Colonic NeoplasmsNomogramsHumansNeoplasm StagingPrognosisSEER ProgramColon cancernomogramoverall survivalpredictionprognosisSEER

Identifiers

PMID33990147
PMCPMC8127758
OpenAlexW3163914689

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.