ArticleActa bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis2021
Analysis of the time evolution of COVID-19 lethality during the first epidemic wave in Italy.
Article in Acta bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Prevention, diagnosis and treatment of cervical cancer: A systematic review of the impact of COVID-19 on patient care.Preventive medicine · 2022Pooled it
- COVID-19 Vaccination and Public Health: Addressing Global, Regional, and Within-Country Inequalities.Vaccines · 2024Review
- Association between Malnutrition and Depression in Patients with Cancer: The Importance of Nutritional Status Evaluation in Cancer Care.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Risk of Repeated Adverse Effects following Booster Dose of mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine: Results from the MOSAICO Study.Vaccines · 2023Article
- Evolution of the lethality due to SARS-CoV-2 in Spain according to age group and sex.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Progress and prospects for artificial intelligence in clinical practice: learning from COVID-19.Internal and emergency medicine · 2022Article
- The effect of laboratory-verified smoking on SARS-CoV-2 infection: results from the Troina sero-epidemiological survey.Internal and emergency medicine · 2022Article
- Improvements throughout the Three Waves of COVID-19 Pandemic: Results from 4 Million Inhabitants of North-West Italy.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022Article
- Measuring meningococcal vaccination coverage among adolescents in Italy: state-of-the-art and regional challenges.Acta bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis · 2022Article
- The Italian PrEPventHIV challenge: a scoping systematic review on HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis monitoring in Italy.Acta bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis · 2022Article
- Azithromycin Has Been Flying Off the Shelves: The Italian Lesson Learnt from Improper Use of Antibiotics against COVID-19.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2022Article
- The Effect of Smoking on Humoral Response to COVID-19 Vaccines: A Systematic Review of Epidemiological Studies.Vaccines · 2022Review
- The temporal correlation between positive testing and death in Italy: from the first phase to the later evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic.Acta bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis · 2022Article
- Genomic Snapshot of SARS-CoV-2 in Migrants Entering Through Mediterranean Sea Routes.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Seroepidemiological Survey on the Impact of Smoking on SARS-CoV-2 Infection and COVID-19 Outcomes: Protocol for the Troina Study.JMIR research protocols · 2021Article
- An assessment of case-fatality and infection-fatality rates of first and second COVID-19 waves in Italy.Acta bio-medica : Atenei Parmensis · 2021Article
- Occupational Exposure in the Lombardy Region (Italy) to SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Results from the MUSTANG-OCCUPATION-COVID-19 Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Observational
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND
aimWhile the entire world is still experiencing the dramatic emergency due to SARS-CoV-2, Italy has a prominent position since it has been the locus of the first major outbreak among Western countries. The aim of this study is the evaluation of temporal connection between SARS-CoV-2 positive tests (cases) and deaths in Italy in the first wave of the epidemic.
methodsA temporal link between cases and deaths was determined by comparing their daily/weekly trends using surveillance data of the period March 2-June 2020.
resultsThe monitoring of the cases/deaths evolution during the first wave of the outbreak highlights a striking correlation between infections of a certain week and deaths of the following one. We defined a weekly lethality rate that is virtually unchanged over the entire months of April and May until the first week of June (≈13.6%). Due to the rather low number of cases/deaths, this parameter starts to fluctuate in the following three weeks.
conclusionsThe analysis indicates that the weekly lethality rate is virtually unchanged over the entire first wave of the epidemic, despite the progressive increase of the testing. As observed for the overall lethality, this parameter uniformly presents rather high values. The definition of a temporal link between cases and deaths will likely represent a useful tool for highlighting analogies and differences between the first and the second wave of the pandemic and for evaluating the effectiveness, even if partial, of the strategies applied during the ongoing outbreak. (www.actabiomedica.it).
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