ArticleAnnals of translational medicine2021
A predictive model for postthrombotic syndrome in proximal deep vein thrombosis patients.
Article in Annals of translational medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- A nomogram for predicting subsequent liver metastasis in patients with metastatic breast cancer.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Article
- Article
- A systematic evaluation and meta-analysis of early prediction of post-thrombotic syndrome.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2023Review
- Effective prediction model for preventing postoperative deep vein thrombosis during bladder cancer treatment.The Journal of international medical research · 2022Article
- Machine learning-based prediction of the post-thrombotic syndrome: Model development and validation study.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Article
- A Prediction Model Based on Blood Biomarker for Mortality Risk in Patients with Acute Venous Thromboembolism.Journal of inflammation research · 2022Article
- Predicting the Risk of Deep Venous Thrombosis in Elderly Patients: A Comparative Analysis of Seven Machine Learning Models.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/HemostasisArticle
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8 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundPostthrombotic syndrome (PTS) is the most common long-term complication of deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Predictive models for PTS after hospitalized DVT patients, especially those with proximal DVT for whom preventative intervention decisions need to be made, are rare. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinical predictive model for PTS in patients with proximal DVT.
methodsThis study was a retrospective, single-center, case-control study. The data used in our model were retrospectively collected from a prospective registry database in which 210 (derivation) and 90 (validation) consecutive patients were first diagnosed with proximal DVT. We developed a nomogram using the multivariate logistic regression model. External validation of our predictive model and previous predictive models in our validation set was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility.
resultsOf the 30 candidate predictors, 5 were significantly associated with PTS in our final multivariable model, including the number of signs and symptoms (OR 1.33, 95% CI: 1.17 to 1.53, P<0.001), male sex (OR 1.79, 95% CI: 1.07 to 3.06, P=0.028), varicose vein history (OR 3.02, 95% CI: 1.04 to 7.60, P<0.001), BMI (OR 1.06, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.12, P=0.052), and chronic DVT (OR 2.66, 95% CI: 1.49 to 4.79, P<0.001). The area under the curve was 0.724 in our predictive model, indicating suitable external performance.
conclusionsA simple-to-use nomogram effectively predicts the risk of PTS in patients with proximal DVT. This predictive model may be considered for use in clinical care.
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