Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33987031›Full record

ArticlePeerJ2021

Ecosystem services show variable responses to future climate conditions in the Colombian páramos.

Mauricio Diazgranados, Carolina Tovar, Thomas R Etherington, Paula A Rodríguez-Zorro, Carolina Castellanos-Castro, Manuel Galvis Rueda, Suzette G A Flantua

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PeerJ, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. A systematic review of ecosystem services in the Rabanal páramo (Colombia).Integrated environmental assessment and management · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mauricio DiazgranadosNatural Capital and Plant Health Department, Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Ardingly, West Sussex, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-0448-5706
Carolina TovarBiodiversity Informatics and Spatial Analysis, Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, Surrey, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8256-9174
Thomas R EtheringtonBiodiversity Informatics and Spatial Analysis, Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, Surrey, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-3187-075X
Paula A Rodríguez-ZorroInstitut des Sciences de l'Évolution Montpellier (ISEM), Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-2476-1598
Carolina Castellanos-CastroCiencias Básicas de la Biodiversidad, Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt, Bogotá, Colombia.
Manuel Galvis RuedaDepartamento de Biología, Grupo de Investigación en Estudios Micro y Macro Ambientales (MICRAM), Universidad Tecnológica y Pedagógica de Colombia, Tunja, Colombia.
Suzette G A FlantuaNatural Capital and Plant Health Department, Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Ardingly, West Sussex, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6526-3037

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe páramos, the high-elevation ecosystems of the northern Andes, are well-known for their high species richness and provide a variety of ecosystem services to local subsistence-based communities and regional urbanizations. Climate change is expected to negatively affect the provision of these services, but the level of this impact is still unclear. Here we assess future climate change impact on the ecosystem services provided by the critically important páramos of the department of Boyacá in Colombia, of which over 25% of its territory is páramo.

methodsWe first performed an extensive literature review to identify useful species of Boyacá, and selected 103 key plant species that, based on their uses, support the provision of ecosystem services in the páramos. We collated occurrence information for each key species and using a Mahalanobis distance approach we applied climate niche modelling for current and future conditions.

resultsWe show an overall tendency of reduction in area for all ecosystem services under future climate conditions (mostly a loss of 10% but reaching up to a loss of 40%), but we observe also increases, and responses differ in intensity loss. Services such as

Indexed as

BoyacáClimate changeColombiaMahalanobis distanceNiche modellingPáramoUseful plants

Identifiers

PMID33987031
PMCPMC8101452

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.