Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33980858›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

The epidemicity index of recurrent SARS-CoV-2 infections.

Lorenzo Mari, Renato Casagrandi, Enrico Bertuzzo, Damiano Pasetto, Stefano Miccoli, Andrea Rinaldo, Marino Gatto

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Epidemicity conditions in spatial models of infectious diseases.Bollettino della Unione matematica italiana (2008) · 2026
    Article
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  6. Emergence of the reproduction matrix in epidemic forecasting.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lorenzo MariDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy. lorenzo.mari@polimi.it.ORCID 0000-0003-1326-9992
Renato CasagrandiDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5177-803X
Enrico BertuzzoDipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia, Venice, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5872-0666
Damiano PasettoDipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia, Venice, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-6892-9826
Stefano MiccoliDipartimento di Meccanica, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-7447-049X
Andrea RinaldoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland. andrea.rinaldo@epfl.ch.ORCID 0000-0002-2546-9548
Marino GattoDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy. marino.gatto@polimi.it.ORCID 0000-0001-8063-9178

Funding

Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Padova e Rovigo (Foundation Cariparo) 55722Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation) 200021-172578
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Several indices can predict the long-term fate of emerging infectious diseases and the effect of their containment measures, including a variety of reproduction numbers (e.g. [Formula: see text]). Other indices evaluate the potential for transient increases of epidemics eventually doomed to disappearance, based on generalized reactivity analysis. They identify conditions for perturbations to a stable disease-free equilibrium ([Formula: see text]) to grow, possibly causing significant damage. Here, we introduce the epidemicity index e

Indexed as

AlgorithmsModels, TheoreticalComputer SimulationCOVID-19GeographyHumansItalyPandemicsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33980858
PMCPMC8115165

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.