Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33980401›Full record

ArticleSpatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology2021

Spatio-temporal variations in COVID-19 in relation to the global climate distribution and fluctuations.

Olaniran Jonathan Matthew, Adebayo Oluwole Eludoyin, Kehinde Sunday Oluwadiya

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Olaniran Jonathan MatthewInstitute of Ecology and Environmental Studies, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria.
Adebayo Oluwole EludoyinDepartment of Geography, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria. Electronic address: oaeludoyin@oauife.edu.ng.
Kehinde Sunday OluwadiyaDepartment of Surgery, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study investigated the spatio-temporal variations in the occurrence of COVID-19 (confirmed cases and deaths) in relation to climate fluctuations in 61 countries, scattered around the world, from December 31, 2019 to May 28, 2020. Logarithm transformation of the count variable (COVID-19 cases) was used in a multiple linear regression model to predict the potential effects of weather variables on the prevalence of the disease. The study revealed strong associations (-0.510 ≤ r ≤ -0.967; 0.519 ≤ r ≤ 0.999) between climatic variables and confirmed cases of COVID-19 in majority (68.85%) of the selected countries. It showed evidences of 1 to 7-day delays in the response of the infection to changes in weather pattern. Model simulations suggested that a unit fall in temperature and humidity could increase (0.04-18.70%) the infection in 19.67% and 16.39% of the countries, respectively, while a general reduction (-0.05 to 9.40%) in infection cases was projected in 14.75% countries with a unit drop in precipitation. In conclusion, the study suggests that effective public health interventions are crucial to containing the projected upsurge in COVID-19 cases during both cold and warm seasons in the southern and northern hemispheres.

Indexed as

ClimateGlobal HealthSpatial AnalysisCOVID-19HumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2ClimateContainmentsCOVID-19Spatio-temporal variationsUpsurge

Identifiers

PMID33980401
PMCPMC7973081

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.