ArticleNature communications2021
1.5 °C degrowth scenarios suggest the need for new mitigation pathways.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.
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Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed.
- Review
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- Energy requirements for securing wellbeing in Switzerland and the space for affluence and inequality.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Material Efficiency and Circularity Goals to Achieve a Carbon-Neutral Society by 2050.Environmental science & technology · 2025Article
- Towards equitable carbon responsibility: Integrating trade-related emissions and carbon sinks in urban decarbonization.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2025Article
- Carbon removal support is tempered by concerns over whether biological methods are worth it.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Drivers of global tourism carbon emissions.Nature communications · 2024Article
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- Observed carbon decoupling of subnational production insufficient for net-zero goal by 2050.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
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- Quantifying energy transition vulnerability helps more just and inclusive decarbonization.PNAS nexus · 2024Article
- Prospects for global sustainable development through integrating the environmental impacts of economic activities.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Solar-Driven Sustainability: III-V Semiconductor for Green Energy Production Technologies.Nano-micro letters · 2024Review
- Spread in climate policy scenarios unravelled.Nature · 2023Article
- Modeling transformational policy pathways on low growth and negative growth scenarios to assess impacts on socioeconomic development and carbon emissions.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions.Nature communications · 2023Article
- An integrated framework of ground source heat pump utilisation for high-performance buildings.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Is the EU shirking responsibility for its deforestation footprint in tropical countries? Power, material, and epistemic inequalities in the EU's global environmental governance.Sustainability science · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
1.5 °C scenarios reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) rely on combinations of controversial negative emissions and unprecedented technological change, while assuming continued growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Thus far, the integrated assessment modelling community and the IPCC have neglected to consider degrowth scenarios, where economic output declines due to stringent climate mitigation. Hence, their potential to avoid reliance on negative emissions and speculative rates of technological change remains unexplored. As a first step to address this gap, this paper compares 1.5 °C degrowth scenarios with IPCC archetype scenarios, using a simplified quantitative representation of the fuel-energy-emissions nexus. Here we find that the degrowth scenarios minimize many key risks for feasibility and sustainability compared to technology-driven pathways, such as the reliance on high energy-GDP decoupling, large-scale carbon dioxide removal and large-scale and high-speed renewable energy transformation. However, substantial challenges remain regarding political feasibility. Nevertheless, degrowth pathways should be thoroughly considered.
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