Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33975867›Full record

ArticleGut2022

Severity of gastric intestinal metaplasia predicts the risk of gastric cancer: a prospective multicentre cohort study (GCEP).

Jonathan W J Lee, Feng Zhu, Supriya Srivastava, Stephen Kk Tsao, Christopher Khor, Khek Yu Ho, Kwong Ming Fock, Wee Chian Lim, Tiing Leong Ang, Wan Cheng Chow and 18 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05782465 (Validation of a Molecular Test for Risk-stratification of Patients With High-risk Intestinal Metaplasia), which is not on this map. Cited by 64 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
16.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05782465 active not recruitingnot on this map

Validation of a Molecular Test for Risk-stratification of Patients With High-risk Intestinal Metaplasia (GCEP2 Study)

TypeobservationalSponsorNational University Hospital, SingaporeRan2019 to 2033Enrolled500ConditionsStomach NeoplasmArmsBlood Collection, processing and analyses, Gastroscopy and biopsies collection, Urea Breath Test
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 117 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Global Progression Rates of Precursor Lesions for Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Quality indicators for upper GI endoscopy.Gastrointestinal endoscopy · 2025
    Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Diagnosing and grading gastric atrophy and intestinal metaplasia using semi-supervised deep learning on pathological images: development and validation study.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2024
    Trial
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Reproducible Topographic Phenotypes and Three-Phase Anatomical Evolution of Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia.Digestive endoscopy : official journal of the Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society · 2026
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

Jonathan W J Lee *Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National University Hospital, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-7065-8041
Feng Zhu *Department of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-6030-9251
Supriya Srivastava *Department of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Stephen Kk TsaoDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Christopher KhorDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.
Khek Yu HoDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National University Hospital, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-2932-1962
Kwong Ming FockDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Changi General Hospital, Singapore.
Wee Chian LimDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Tiing Leong AngDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Changi General Hospital, Singapore.
Wan Cheng ChowDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-7567-999X
Jimmy Bok Yan SoSingapore Gastric Cancer Consortium, Singapore.
Calvin J KohDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National University Hospital, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-1756-3737
Shijia Joy ChuaDepartment of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Andrew S Y WongDepartment of Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore.
Jaideepraj RaoDepartment of Surgery, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Lee Guan LimRaffles Medical Group, Singapore.
Khoon Lin LingMount Elizabeth Medical Centre, Singapore.
Chung-King ChiaMount Elizabeth Medical Centre, Singapore.
Choon Jin OoiGleneagles Medical Centre, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-8961-5455
Andrea RajnakovaAndrea's Digestive, Colon, Liver and Gallbladder Clinic Pte Ltd, Singapore.
Wai Ming YapDepartment of Pathology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Manuel Salto-TellezPrecision Medicine Centre of Excellence, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.
Bow HoDepartment of Microbiology, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Richie SoongCancer Science Institute of Singapore, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Kee Seng ChiaSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Yik Ying TeoSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Ming TehSingapore Gastric Cancer Consortium, Singapore.
Khay-Guan YeohDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National University Hospital, Singapore mdcykg@nus.edu.sg.ORCID 0000-0002-7802-4606
National University of Singapore · SGTan Tock Seng Hospital · SGChangi General Hospital · SGMount Elizabeth Hospital · SGSingapore General Hospital · SGGleneagles Hospital · SGQueen's University Belfast · GBRaffles Institution · SG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate the incidence of gastric cancer (GC) attributed to gastric intestinal metaplasia (IM), and validate the Operative Link on Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia (OLGIM) for targeted endoscopic surveillance in regions with low-intermediate incidence of GC.

methodsA prospective, longitudinal and multicentre study was carried out in Singapore. The study participants comprised 2980 patients undergoing screening gastroscopy with standardised gastric mucosal sampling, from January 2004 and December 2010, with scheduled surveillance endoscopies at year 3 and 5. Participants were also matched against the National Registry of Diseases Office for missed diagnoses of early gastric neoplasia (EGN).

resultsThere were 21 participants diagnosed with EGN. IM was a significant risk factor for EGN (adjusted-HR 5.36; 95% CI 1.51 to 19.0; p<0.01). The age-adjusted EGN incidence rates for patients with and without IM were 133.9 and 12.5 per 100 000 person-years. Participants with OLGIM stages III-IV were at greatest risk (adjusted-HR 20.7; 95% CI 5.04 to 85.6; p<0.01). More than half of the EGNs (n=4/7) attributed to baseline OLGIM III-IV developed within 2 years (range: 12.7-44.8 months). Serum trefoil factor 3 distinguishes (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics 0.749) patients with OLGIM III-IV if they are negative for

conclusionsWe suggest a risk-stratified approach and recommend that high-risk patients (OLGIM III-IV) have endoscopic surveillance in 2 years, intermediate-risk patients (OLGIM II) in 5 years.

Indexed as

Helicobacter InfectionsHelicobacter pyloriPrecancerous ConditionsStomach NeoplasmsGastroscopyHumansMetaplasiaProspective StudiesRisk Factorsgastric cancerpre-malignancy - GI tractsurveillance

Identifiers

PMID33975867
PMCPMC8995828
OpenAlexW3162871189

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.