Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33975601›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of emergency surgery : WJES2021

Mortality risk estimation in acute calculous cholecystitis: beyond the Tokyo Guidelines.

Ana María González-Castillo, Juan Sancho-Insenser, Maite De Miguel-Palacio, Josep-Ricard Morera-Casaponsa, Estela Membrilla-Fernández, María-José Pons-Fragero, Miguel Pera-Román, Luis Grande-Posa

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of emergency surgery : WJES, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04744441 (Mortality Risk Estimation in Acute Calculous Cholecystitis), which is not on this map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04744441 completednot on this map

Mortality Risk Estimation in Acute Calculous Cholecystitis: Beyond the Tokyo Guidelines

TypeobservationalSponsorHospital del MarRan2011 to 2020Enrolled963ConditionsAcute Calculous CholecystitisArmsCHOLECYSTECTOMY, PERCUTANEOUS CHOLECYSTOSTOMY, EXCLUSIVE ANTIBIOTICS
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Observational
  7. The Association of Polish Surgeons (APS) clinical guidelines for the use of laparoscopy in the management of abdominal emergencies. Part I.Wideochirurgia i inne techniki maloinwazyjne = Videosurgery and other miniinvasive techniques · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ana María González-CastilloDepartment of Surgery, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta, 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain. 62187@parcdesalutmar.cat.ORCID 0000-0003-3967-9551
Juan Sancho-InsenserDepartment of Surgery, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta, 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain.
Maite De Miguel-PalacioGeneral Surgery Department, Hospital del Mar, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain.
Josep-Ricard Morera-CasaponsaDepartment of Surgery, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta, 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain.
Estela Membrilla-FernándezDepartment of Surgery, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta, 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain.
María-José Pons-FrageroGeneral Surgery Department, Hospital del Mar, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain.
Miguel Pera-RománDepartment of Surgery, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta, 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain.
Luis Grande-PosaDepartment of Surgery, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta, 25-29, 08003, Barcelona, Spain.
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona · ESHospital del Mar Research Institute · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute calculous cholecystitis (ACC) is the second most frequent surgical condition in emergency departments. The recommended treatment is the early laparoscopic cholecystectomy; however, the Tokyo Guidelines (TG) advocate for different initial treatments in some subgroups of patients without a strong evidence that all patients will benefit from them. There is no clear consensus in the literature about who is the unfit patient for surgical treatment. The primary aim of the study is to identify the risk factors for mortality in ACC and compare them with Tokyo Guidelines (TG) classification.

methodsRetrospective unicentric cohort study of patients emergently admitted with and ACC during 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2016. The study comprised 963 patients. Primary outcome was the mortality after the diagnosis. A propensity score method was used to avoid confounding factors comparing surgical treatment and non-surgical treatment.

resultsThe overall mortality was 3.6%. Mortality was associated with older age (68 + IQR 27 vs. 83 + IQR 5.5; P = 0.001) and higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (3.5 + 5.3 vs. 0+2; P = 0.001). A logistic regression model isolated four mortality risk factors (ACME): chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 4.66 95% CI 1.7-12.8 P = 0.001), dementia (OR 4.12; 95% CI 1.34-12.7, P = 0.001), age > 80 years (OR 1.12: 95% CI 1.02-1.21, P = 0.001) and the need of preoperative vasoactive amines (OR 9.9: 95% CI 3.5-28.3, P = 0.001) which predicted the mortality in a 92% of the patients. The receiver operating characteristic curve yielded an area of 88% significantly higher that 68% (P = 0.003) from the TG classification. When comparing subgroups selected using propensity score matching with the same morbidity and severity of ACC, mortality was higher in the non-surgical treatment group. (26.2% vs. 10.5%).

conclusionsMortality was higher in ACC patients treated with non-surgical treatment. ACME identifies high-risk patients. The validation to ACME with a prospective multicenter study population could allow us to create a new alternative guideline to TG for treating ACC.

trial registrationRetrospectively registered and recorded in Clinical Trials. NCT04744441.

Indexed as

Risk AssessmentAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCholecystectomy, LaparoscopicCholecystitis, AcuteComorbidityFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPractice Guidelines as TopicPropensity ScoreRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSpainAcute calculous cholecystitisAcute cholecystitisCharlson Comorbidity IndexDelayed cholecystectomyEarly cholecystectomyHigh-risk patientMortalityNon-surgical treatmentPercutaneous cholecystostomyTokyo Guidelines

Identifiers

PMID33975601
PMCPMC8111736
OpenAlexW3160107679

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.