ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2021
Potential geographic distribution of the tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus (Skuse, 1894) (Diptera: Culicidae) in current and future conditions for Colombia.
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Trends in mosquito species distribution modeling: insights for vector surveillance and disease control.Parasites & vectors · 2023Pooled it
- Climate change and the rising threat of vector-borne diseases in the Andes.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Review
- Article
- Bibliometric Analysis of the Evolution and Distribution of Research on Analytical Methods for Climate-Sensitive Infectious Diseases in Latin America and the Caribbean.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Review
- Development Rate of the Larvae of the Mosquito Aedes albifasciatus: A Mathematical Model as Decision Tool.Neotropical entomology · 2025Article
- Update of the spatiotemporal distribution of Aedes albopictus in EcuadorBiomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud · 2025Article
- Article
- Risk Prediction of Emerging Sites Infested with Schistosome-Transmitting Oncomelania hupensis in Shanghai, China.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2025Article
- Future Climate Change and Anthropogenic Disturbance Promote the Invasions of the World's Worst Invasive Insect Pests.Insects · 2024Article
- Aedes albopictus is present in the lowlands of southern Zambia.Acta tropica · 2024Article
- Aedes albopictus distribution in Ibagué, Colombia: Potential risk of arboviral outbreaksBiomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud · 2023Article
- Prediction of Oncomelania hupensis distribution in association with climate change using machine learning models.Parasites & vectors · 2023Article
- Niche and Range Shifts ofInsects · 2023Article
- Article
- Ecological Niche Modelling Approaches: Challenges and Applications in Vector-Borne Diseases.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Review
- Global Distribution ofInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Prediction of the Risk Distributions for Anopheles sinensis, a Vector for Malaria in Shanghai, China.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2023Article
- First report of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) in the North of Colombia.Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de Sao Paulo · 2023Article
- Aedes albopictus abundance and phenology along an altitudinal gradient in Lazio region (central Italy).Parasites & vectors · 2022Article
- Local-scale virome depiction in Medellín, Colombia, supports significant differences between Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus.PloS one · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In Colombia, little is known on the distribution of the Asian mosquito Aedes albopictus, main vector of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in Asia and Oceania. Therefore, this work sought to estimate its current and future potential geographic distribution under the Representative Concentration Paths (RCP) 2.6 and 8.5 emission scenarios by 2050 and 2070, using ecological niche models. For this, predictions were made in MaxEnt, employing occurrences of A. albopictus from their native area and South America and bioclimatic variables of these places. We found that, from their invasion of Colombia to the most recent years, A. albopictus is present in 47% of the country, in peri-urban (20%), rural (23%), and urban (57%) areas between 0 and 1800 m, with Antioquia and Valle del Cauca being the departments with most of the records. Our ecological niche modelling for the currently suggests that A. albopictus is distributed in 96% of the Colombian continental surface up to 3000 m (p < 0.001) putting at risk at least 48 million of people that could be infected by the arboviruses that this species transmits. Additionally, by 2050 and 2070, under RCP 2.6 scenario, its distribution could cover to nearly 90% of continental extension up to 3100 m (≈55 million of people at risk), while under RCP 8.5 scenario, it could decrease below 60% of continental extension, but expand upward to 3200 m (< 38 million of people at risk). These results suggest that, currently in Colombia, A. albopictus is found throughout the country and climate change could diminish eventually its area of distribution, but increase its altitudinal range. In Colombia, surveillance and vector control programs must focus their attention on this vector to avoid complications in the national public health setting.
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