Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33973727›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2021

A novel prognostic model predicts overall survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on clinical features and blood biomarkers.

Changchun Lai, Chunning Zhang, Hualiang Lv, Hanqing Huang, Xia Ke, Chuchan Zhou, Hao Chen, Shulin Chen, Lei Zhou

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Changchun LaiDepartment Of Clinical Laboratory, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.
Chunning ZhangDepartment Of First Tumor, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.
Hualiang LvDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.
Hanqing HuangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.
Xia KeDepartment Of Clinical Laboratory, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.
Chuchan ZhouDepartment Of Clinical Laboratory, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.
Hao ChenState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosis and Therapy, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P. R. China.
Shulin ChenState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosis and Therapy, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P. R. China.ORCID 0000-0003-0816-2664
Lei ZhouDepartment Of Pathology Laboratory, Maoming People's Hospital, Maoming, P. R. China.ORCID 0000-0002-5293-867X
Pingliang People's Hospital · CNSun Yat-sen University · CNBoxing People's Hospital · CNJining First People's Hospital · CNPulmonary and Critical Care Associates · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to develop and validate a novel prognostic model to estimate overall survival (OS) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients based on clinical features and blood biomarkers. We assessed the model's incremental value to the TNM staging system, clinical treatment, and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA copy number for individual OS estimation. We retrospectively analyzed 519 consecutive patients with NPC. A prognostic model was generated using the Lasso regression model in the training cohort. Then we compared the predictive accuracy of the novel prognostic model with TNM staging, clinical treatment, and EBV DNA copy number using concordance index (C-index), time-dependent ROC (tdROC), and decision curve analysis (DCA). Subsequently, we built a nomogram for OS incorporating the prognostic model, TNM staging, and clinical treatment. Finally, we stratified patients into high-risk and low-risk groups according to the model risk score, and we analyzed the survival time of these two groups using Kaplan-Meier survival plots. All results were validated in the independent validation cohort. Using the Lasso regression, we established a prognostic model consisting of 13 variables with respect to patient prognosis. The C-index, tdROC, and DCA showed that the prognostic model had good predictive accuracy and discriminatory power in the training cohort than did TNM staging, clinical treatment, and EBV DNA copy number. Nomogram consisting of the prognostic model, TNM staging, clinical treatment, and EBV DNA copy number showed some superior net benefit. Based on the model risk score, we split the patients into two subgroups: low-risk (risk score ≤ -1.423) and high-risk (risk score > -1.423). There were significant differences in OS between the two subgroups of patients. Similar results were observed in the validation cohort. The proposed novel prognostic model based on clinical features and serological markers may represent a promising tool for estimating OS in NPC patients.

Indexed as

NomogramsBiomarkers, TumorCohort StudiesDecision Support TechniquesDNA Copy Number VariationsDNA, ViralFemaleHerpesvirus 4, HumanHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalNasopharyngeal CarcinomaNasopharyngeal NeoplasmsNeoplasm StagingBiomarkers, TumorDNA, Virallasso regressionmodelnasopharyngeal carcinomanomogramprognostic

Identifiers

PMID33973727
PMCPMC8178501
OpenAlexW3115413109

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.